Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Crafting + 3D: a typical launch earns $809 in its first year
That is the median of 47 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 104 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 48% on the year before: 90 against 61.
- Price
- $809 median of 47 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +0.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 90 61 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 356 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 697 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.41%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.26% to 0.62% | 35 ranked of 356 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #560 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.24xhits against expected | 0.87x to 1.80x | 104 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,571 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 104
- Hit rate
- 10.6%5.4% to 16.3%
- Expected rate
- 8.0%
- Against expected
- 1.24x0.87x to 1.80x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
104 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $809
- Top tenth
- $104,808
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +48%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Amber Isle (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,782 reviews, 82% positiveest. $902k
- Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,025 reviews, 68% positiveest. $622k
- Bladesong (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,499 reviews, 95% positiveest. $607k
- Cozy Caravan (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,260 reviews, 93% positiveest. $510k
- How to Make an Atomic Bomb in Your Garden (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,040 reviews, 89% positiveest. $483k
- My Little Universe (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,506 reviews, 89% positiveest. $457k
- Pathless Woods (opens the Steam store)2024 · 958 reviews, 79% positiveest. $388k
- Alaska Gold Fever (opens the Steam store)2026 · 982 reviews, 79% positiveest. $338k
More with Crafting
pairs with Crafting- Crafting + Open World Survival Craft$26,87533 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Resource Management$9,79344 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Base Building$8,90179 launches priced, 125 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Life Sim$8,45137 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Crafting$7,48760 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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