Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Racing / First-Person
Racing + First-Person: a typical launch earns $405 in its first year
That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 81 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 41% on the year before: 69 against 49.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $405 median of 37 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −57.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 69 49 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 157 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 494 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.16%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.10% to 0.24% | 22 ranked of 157 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,274 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.01xhits against expected | 0.69x to 1.54x | 81 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,752 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +5%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −22% to +47% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,257 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +7%review growth against same-age games | −1% to +17% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #501 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 81
- Hit rate
- 8.6%2.8% to 14.7%
- Expected rate
- 8.6%
- Against expected
- 1.01x0.69x to 1.54x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
81 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $566
- Top tenth
- $52,624
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +41%
- Against Steam
- +1%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- RacingGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Assetto Corsa EVO (opens the Steam store)2025 · 16,629 reviews, 60% positiveest. $13M
- My Winter Car (opens the Steam store)2025 · 18,800 reviews, 94% positiveest. $5.7M
- Project Motor Racing (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,203 reviews, 46% positiveest. $974k
- City Car Driving 2.0 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,235 reviews, 60% positiveest. $750k
- CarX Drift Racing Online 2 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,262 reviews, 71% positiveest. $639k
- Firehawk: FPV Drone Shooter (opens the Steam store)2025 · 516 reviews, 92% positiveest. $209k
- Full Stride (opens the Steam store)2026 · 212 reviews, 61% positiveest. $150k
- LANESPLIT (opens the Steam store)2026 · 383 reviews, 77% positiveest. $140k
More with Racing
pairs with Racing- Racing + Realistic$1,56740 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Sports$1,314104 launches priced, 147 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Multiplayer$60747 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Driving$606121 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
- Racing + PvP$60645 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Racing + Colorful$60567 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
More with First-Person
pairs with First-Person- Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.