Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Racing + Physics: a typical launch earns $500 in its first year

That is the median of 64 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 124 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 24% on the year before: 93 against 75.

Price: $500
Price vs a year earlier: +64.9%
Releases, 12 months: 93
Upcoming games: 226
Games on the store: 674

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Racing + Physics on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.09%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.05% to 0.13%	18 ranked of 226 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,867 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.50xhits against expected	1.08x to 2.10x	124 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#738 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+11%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−16% to +39%	35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,048 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+1%review growth against same-age games	−12% to +11%	35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#789 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 14
Expected: 8.3

Launches: 124
Hit rate: 11.3%7.2% to 16.5%
Expected rate: 6.7%
Against expected: 1.50x1.08x to 2.10x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

124 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $627
Top tenth: $148,641

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 93
Prior 12 months: 75

Change: +24%
Against Steam: −10%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

RacingGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
PhysicsNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Racing

pairs with Racing

Racing + Realistic$1,56740 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
Racing + Sports$1,314104 launches priced, 147 releases in 12 months
Racing + Multiplayer$60747 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
Racing + Driving$606121 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
Racing + PvP$60645 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Racing + Colorful$60567 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Racing

More with Physics

pairs with Physics

Building + Physics$2,16430 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Exploration + Physics$2,06074 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
Multiplayer + Physics$1,72852 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
Comedy + Physics$1,61742 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + Physics$1,24262 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Physics$1,11244 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Physics

Verdicts

in development

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