Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Roguelike + Combat: a typical launch earns $728 in its first year
That is the median of 63 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 132 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 32% on the year before: 95 against 72.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $728 median of 63 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +18.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 95 72 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 223 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 504 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.03%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.05% | 9 ranked of 223 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #6,702 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.79xhits against expected | 0.54x to 1.28x | 132 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,175 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 132
- Hit rate
- 3.8%1.4% to 9.3%
- Expected rate
- 5.4%
- Against expected
- 0.79x0.54x to 1.28x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
132 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $717
- Top tenth
- $37,919
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +32%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Sephiria (opens the Steam store)2025 · 12,039 reviews, 94% positiveest. $4M
- Stick It to the Stickman (opens the Steam store)2025 · 8,385 reviews, 95% positiveest. $2M
- Crimson Moon (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,827 reviews, 58% positiveest. $1.1M
- Pass the Fear (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,064 reviews, 79% positiveest. $727k
- Carmageddon: Rogue Shift (opens the Steam store)2026 · 756 reviews, 62% positiveest. $612k
- Epic Auto Towers (opens the Steam store)2024 · 769 reviews, 70% positiveest. $233k
- Ocean Keeper: Dome Survival (opens the Steam store)2024 · 826 reviews, 77% positiveest. $167k
- Helskate (opens the Steam store)2024 · 302 reviews, 65% positiveest. $153k
More with Roguelike
pairs with Roguelike- Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$17,70935 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,25299 launches priced, 221 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Roguelike$4,45040 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Anime$4,38831 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Auto Battler$3,39375 launches priced, 156 releases in 12 months
More with Combat
pairs with Combat- Combat + Action RPG$1,57755 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Combat$1,20546 launches priced, 87 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Combat$1,17356 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Hack and Slash + Combat$80946 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Combat + Beat 'em up$80933 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Combat$76896 launches priced, 139 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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