Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Roguelike + Dark Fantasy: a typical launch earns $1,922 in its first year

That is the median of 50 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 16 of 120 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 106% on the year before: 109 against 53.

Price: $1,922
Price vs a year earlier: −13.5%
Releases, 12 months: 109
Upcoming games: 303
Games on the store: 577

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Roguelike + Dark Fantasy on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.11%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.05% to 0.17%	13 ranked of 304 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,596 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.84xhits against expected	1.34x to 2.53x	120 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#263 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−41%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−54% to −22%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,279 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−14%review growth against same-age games	−28% to −2%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,439 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 16
Expected: 7.3

Launches: 120
Hit rate: 13.3%9.5% to 20.8%
Expected rate: 6.1%
Against expected: 1.84x1.34x to 2.53x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

120 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $61
Median: $1,342
Top tenth: $159,152

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 109
Prior 12 months: 53

Change: +106%
Against Steam: +45%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

RoguelikeGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Dark FantasyNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Roguelike

pairs with Roguelike

Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$17,70935 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,25299 launches priced, 221 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based + Roguelike$4,45040 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Anime$4,38831 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Auto Battler$3,39375 launches priced, 156 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Roguelike

More with Dark Fantasy

pairs with Dark Fantasy

Dark Fantasy + Action Roguelike$4,04545 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
Hack and Slash + Dark Fantasy$3,96244 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
Action-Adventure + Dark Fantasy$3,09649 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Dark Fantasy$3,01348 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Dark Fantasy$2,83293 launches priced, 207 releases in 12 months
Action RPG + Dark Fantasy$2,34646 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Dark Fantasy

Verdicts

in development

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