Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

RPG + FMV: a typical launch earns $25,579 in its first year

That is the median of 38 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 20 of 67 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 15% on the year before: 46 against 40.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: $25,579
Price vs a year earlier: −17.4%
Releases, 12 months: 46
Upcoming games: 54
Games on the store: 179

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

RPG + FMV on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.02%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.01% to 0.04%	5 ranked of 54 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#6,916 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	2.82xhits against expected	2.14x to 3.63x	67 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,812 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 20
Expected: 5.2

Launches: 67
Hit rate: 29.9%18.6% to 44.5%
Expected rate: 7.7%
Against expected: 2.82x2.14x to 3.63x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

67 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $226
Median: $33,405
Top tenth: $248,494

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 46
Prior 12 months: 40

Change: +15%

Parent tags

RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
FMVNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with RPG

pairs with RPG

RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
RPG + Management$6,19747 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months

Every pair with RPG

More with FMV

pairs with FMV

Visual Novel + FMV$65,06531 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Dating Sim + FMV$40,45030 launches priced, 28 releases in 12 months
Interactive Fiction + FMV$39,86745 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
Casual + FMVno price47 releases in 12 months
Simulation + FMVno price44 releases in 12 months
Adventure + FMVno price40 releases in 12 months

Every pair with FMV

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.