Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Shooter + Physics: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year

That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 63 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 7% on the year before: 38 against 41.

Price: $202
Price vs a year earlier: −86.2%
Releases, 12 months: 38
Upcoming games: 148
Games on the store: 406

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Shooter + Physics on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.04% to 0.07%	12 ranked of 148 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,387 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.43xhits against expected	0.99x to 2.13x	63 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#889 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+68%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+15% to +123%	21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#63 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+16%review growth against same-age games	+2% to +27%	21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#88 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 8
Expected: 4.7

Launches: 63
Hit rate: 12.7%4.9% to 18.3%
Expected rate: 7.4%
Against expected: 1.43x0.99x to 2.13x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

63 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $606
Top tenth: $135,503

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 38
Prior 12 months: 41

Change: −7%
Against Steam: −31%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
PhysicsNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Shooter

pairs with Shooter

Shooter + Cyberpunk$2,57936 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Shooter$2,36739 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Online Co-Op$2,19432 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
Co-op + Shooter$1,82139 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Old School$1,55845 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Gore$1,46646 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Shooter

More with Physics

pairs with Physics

Building + Physics$2,16430 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Exploration + Physics$2,06074 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
Multiplayer + Physics$1,72852 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
Comedy + Physics$1,61742 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + Physics$1,24262 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Physics$1,11244 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Physics

Verdicts

in development

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