Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Shooter / Post-apocalyptic
Shooter + Post-apocalyptic: a typical launch earns $485 in its first year
That is the median of 63 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 133 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 11.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 12% on the year before: 85 against 76.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $485 median of 63 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −41.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 85 76 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 292 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 748 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 2.07%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.33% to 4.48% | 39 ranked of 292 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,011 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.21xhits against expected | 0.87x to 1.70x | 133 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,702 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +29%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +2% to +71% | 34 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #513 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +6%review growth against same-age games | −3% to +18% | 34 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #514 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 133
- Hit rate
- 10.5%4.3% to 15.6%
- Expected rate
- 8.3%
- Against expected
- 1.21x0.87x to 1.70x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
133 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $809
- Top tenth
- $93,992
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +12%
- Against Steam
- −18%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Post-apocalypticNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Forever Winter (opens the Steam store)2024 · 21,418 reviews, 68% positiveest. $13M
- Into the Radius 2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,288 reviews, 79% positiveest. $4.3M
- Road to Vostok (opens the Steam store)2026 · 8,714 reviews, 84% positiveest. $3.5M
- PIONER (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,210 reviews, 62% positiveest. $1.9M
- Metro Awakening (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,041 reviews, 73% positiveest. $1.8M
- Age of Water (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,882 reviews, 72% positiveest. $1.8M
- CONVRGENCE (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,668 reviews, 88% positiveest. $844k
- DUCKSIDE (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,699 reviews, 72% positiveest. $819k
More with Shooter
pairs with Shooter- Shooter + Cyberpunk$2,57936 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Shooter$2,36739 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Online Co-Op$2,19432 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Shooter$1,82139 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Old School$1,55845 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Gore$1,46646 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
More with Post-apocalyptic
pairs with Post-apocalyptic- Survival + Post-apocalyptic$3,39857 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Post-apocalyptic$3,36844 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Post-apocalyptic$1,57662 launches priced, 89 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Post-apocalyptic$1,20137 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Post-apocalyptic$1,05272 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Post-apocalyptic$1,01950 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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