Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Strategy + Sci-fi: a typical launch earns $647 in its first year
That is the median of 113 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 22 of 235 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 19.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 38% on the year before: 184 against 133.
- Price
- $647 median of 113 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −20.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 184 133 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 659 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,810 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.75%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.65% to 2.79% | 51 ranked of 659 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,079 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.13xhits against expected | 0.85x to 1.52x | 235 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,034 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +10%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −7% to +38% | 55 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,106 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +11%review growth against same-age games | +2% to +23% | 55 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #247 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 235
- Hit rate
- 9.4%4.6% to 13.0%
- Expected rate
- 8.1%
- Against expected
- 1.13x0.85x to 1.52x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
235 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $728
- Top tenth
- $81,168
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +38%
- Against Steam
- +1%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Alters (opens the Steam store)2025 · 15,441 reviews, 90% positiveest. $10M
- MENACE (opens the Steam store)2026 · 12,364 reviews, 90% positiveest. $9.8M
- Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Definitive Edition (opens the Steam store)2025 · 12,402 reviews, 85% positiveest. $7.4M
- Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,178 reviews, 79% positiveest. $3M
- Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus II (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,103 reviews, 52% positiveest. $1.7M
- Dune: Imperium (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,825 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.7M
- Cobalt Core (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,082 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.7M
- ZEPHON (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,872 reviews, 82% positiveest. $1.5M
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with Sci-fi
pairs with Sci-fi- Sci-fi + Anime$4,24936 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cyberpunk$3,08346 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cute$1,80330 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Sci-fi$1,61786 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Sci-fi$1,61665 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Sci-fi$1,457125 launches priced, 163 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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