Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Turn-Based Tactics / Tactical RPG
Turn-Based Tactics + Tactical RPG: a typical launch earns $1,718 in its first year
That is the median of 95 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 22 of 181 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 22.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 29% on the year before: 154 against 119.
- Price
- $1,718 median of 95 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −40.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 154 119 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 542 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,236 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.29%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.23% to 0.35% | 70 ranked of 542 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #788 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.98xhits against expected | 0.74x to 1.31x | 181 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,874 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −8%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −25% to +15% | 63 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,692 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −13%review growth against same-age games | −25% to −1% | 63 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,423 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 181
- Hit rate
- 12.2%7.8% to 23.5%
- Expected rate
- 12.4%
- Against expected
- 0.98x0.74x to 1.31x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
181 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $2,428
- Top tenth
- $140,465
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +29%
- Against Steam
- −5%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Turn-Based TacticsGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Tactical RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Tactical Breach Wizards (opens the Steam store)2024 · 11,510 reviews, 97% positiveest. $4.6M
- Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,871 reviews, 78% positiveest. $1.8M
- Cyber Knights: Flashpoint (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,977 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.8M
- NORSE: Oath of Blood (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,554 reviews, 56% positiveest. $1.7M
- Cobalt Core (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,082 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.7M
- SteamWorld Heist II (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,214 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.3M
- The Great Villainess: Strategy of Lily (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,541 reviews, 85% positiveest. $936k
- Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,285 reviews, 82% positiveest. $780k
More with Turn-Based Tactics
pairs with Turn-Based Tactics- Turn-Based + Turn-Based Tactics$5,85530 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Tactics$4,30130 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Turn-Based Tactics$2,24532 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Tactical + Turn-Based Tactics$2,18357 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Turn-Based Tactics$2,084100 launches priced, 232 releases in 12 months
- Wargame + Turn-Based Tactics$1,92146 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
More with Tactical RPG
pairs with Tactical RPG- Turn-Based Combat + Tactical RPG$4,53041 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Pixel Graphics + Tactical RPG$3,27132 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Tactical RPG$3,23736 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Tactical RPG$2,42833 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Strategy RPG + Tactical RPG$2,26889 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
- Party-Based RPG + Tactical RPG$2,02345 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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