Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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192,217
on 3 Oct 2026

Genres 3 Oct

Of 75 genres with 100+ launches at $10 to $20, 38 beat the 18 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 219 under $5, 40 in 100 at $20 to $40.38 of 75 genres beat the 18 in 100 base rate.38 beat the base rate.

Typical launch, all prices, first year $540

Genres

Every genre, screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than genre does.

Indie paid Steam launches 12 to 36 months old, data 3 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

The genre list

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Loads the 30+ launches view.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Loads the 30+ launches view.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Loads the 30+ launches view.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Cozy, 44 in 100. 38 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Loads the 30+ launches view.
Hide one-hit markets6 outHide small samples0 out

75 of 256 genres have 100+ launches at $10 to $20. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.

class-basedNot in this view: under 100 launches at $10 to $20.
fightingNot in this view: under 100 launches at $10 to $20.
tabletopNot in this view: under 100 launches at $10 to $20.
Genres at $10 to $20, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#GenreChance of $100k+Typical yearTop 1 in 10LaunchesMarkersPin
All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat 18 in 100758 of 4,301 $8,234$217,858 4,301
1 1 in 24 earned $100k+, from 195 launches 1 in 248 hits $2,650 $33,643 195 none Pin VR
2 1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 173 launches 1 in 199 hits $1,532 $41,277 173 none Pin Hidden Object
3 1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 131 launches 1 in 197 hits $4,322 $51,139 131 Audience Pin Puzzle Platformer
4 1 in 16 earned $100k+, from 127 launches 1 in 168 hits $5,899 $72,146 127 none Pin Party-Based RPG
5 1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 180 launches 1 in 1116 hits $2,672 $85,014 180 none Pin 3D Platformer
6 1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 152 launches 1 in 1114 hits $4,390 $72,554 152 none Pin Sports
7 1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 171 launches 1 in 1116 hits $4,022 $93,788 171 1-hitAudience Pin JRPG
8 1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 127 launches 1 in 1112 hits $4,259 $99,462 127 none Pin Magic
9 10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 117 launches 10 in 10012 hits $8,618 $103,323 117 none Pin Tactical RPG
10 10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 346 launches 10 in 10036 hits $3,292 $101,169 346 none Pin Arcade
11 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 170 launches 12 in 10020 hits $7,090 $119,162 170 none Pin Romance
12 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 106 launches 12 in 10013 hits $5,630 $189,234 106 Audience Pin Shoot 'Em Up
13 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 686 launches 12 in 10085 hits $3,798 $130,392 686 Audience Pin Puzzle
14 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 242 launches 12 in 10030 hits $4,517 $145,060 242 Audience Pin Choose Your Own Adventure
15 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 434 launches 13 in 10055 hits $7,469 $149,635 434 Audience Pin Visual Novel
16 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 115 launches 13 in 10015 hits $3,677 $145,060 115 none Pin Real Time Tactics
17 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 113 launches 13 in 10015 hits $6,569 $154,485 113 1-hit Pin Collectathon
18 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 242 launches 14 in 10033 hits $6,721 $133,311 242 none Pin Turn-Based Tactics
19 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 249 launches 14 in 10034 hits $3,377 $142,534 249 none Pin Point & Click
20 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 131 launches 14 in 10018 hits $8,302 $135,536 131 Audience Pin Strategy RPG
21 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 229 launches 14 in 10032 hits $7,666 $165,201 229 Audience Pin Interactive Fiction
22 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 311 launches 14 in 10045 hits $6,569 $179,642 311 none Pin 2D Platformer
23 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 545 launches 14 in 10079 hits $5,932 $144,629 545 none Pin Action-Adventure
24 15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 112 launches 15 in 10017 hits $10,843 $193,708 112 none Pin Post-apocalyptic
25 15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 117 launches 15 in 10018 hits $10,843 $149,228 117 1-hit Pin Survival Horror
Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 75 genres
green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches or 5 hits a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.