Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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192,217
on 3 Oct 2026

Genres 3 Oct

Of 156 genres with 30+ launches at $10 to $20, 83 beat the 20 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 238 under $5, 44 in 100 at $20 to $40.83 of 156 genres beat the 20 in 100 base rate.83 beat the base rate.

Typical launch, all prices, first year $552

Genres

Every genre, screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than genre does.

Indie paid Steam launches 12 to 36 months old, data 3 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer. The revenue estimate is soft: about 6 to 7.5 in 100 launches overall.

The genre list

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Now: Shop Keeper, 57 in 100. 156 match.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Online Co-Op, 39 in 100. 68 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Shop Keeper, $123,125 typical. 156 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Now: Co-op, $1M top 1 in 10. 118 match.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Cozy, 51 in 100. 40 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: Simulation, 874 launches. 156 match.
Hide one-hit markets8 outHide small samples+20 if offBeats the base rate+55 if off

156 of 256 genres have 30+ launches at $10 to $20. 63 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.

asynchronous-multiplayerNot in this view: under 30 launches at $10 to $20.
heistNot in this view: under 30 launches at $10 to $20.
Pin another to compare.
Genres at $10 to $20, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#GenreChance of $100k+Typical yearTop 1 in 10LaunchesMarkersPin
All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat 20 in 100878 of 4,304 $10,978$287,297 4,304
1 20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 98 launches 20 in 10020 hits $15,211 $274,242 98 none Pin Souls-like
2 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 112 launches 21 in 10023 hits $14,458 $258,277 112 none Pin Post-apocalyptic
3 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 63 launches 21 in 10013 hits $13,928 $478,716 63 none Pin Rhythm
4 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 111 launches 21 in 10023 hits $14,115 $264,556 111 none Pin RTS
5 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 53 launches 21 in 10011 hits $12,169 $239,039 53 Audience Pin Perma Death
6 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 201 launches 21 in 10042 hits $18,010 $360,680 201 none Pin Card Game
7 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 363 launches 21 in 10077 hits $9,621 $330,193 363 none Pin Shooter
8 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 205 launches 21 in 10044 hits $16,387 $338,755 205 none Pin Dungeon Crawler
9 21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 107 launches 21 in 10023 hits $10,036 $252,312 107 none Pin Space
10 22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 281 launches 22 in 10061 hits $10,294 $303,158 281 none Pin Action RPG
11 22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 55 launches 22 in 10012 hits $10,014 $158,342 55 none Pin Flight
12 22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 345 launches 22 in 10076 hits $12,981 $309,518 345 none Pin Horror
13 23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 80 launches 23 in 10018 hits $21,186 $228,185 80 none Pin Nature
14 23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 106 launches 23 in 10024 hits $12,860 $275,639 106 Audience Pin Detective
15 23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 145 launches 23 in 10033 hits $15,615 $335,771 145 1-hit Pin Dark Fantasy
16 23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 113 launches 23 in 10026 hits $25,693 $327,565 113 none Pin Tactical
17 23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 69 launches 23 in 10016 hits $13,585 $414,131 69 1-hit Pin Military
18 24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 68 launches 24 in 10016 hits $10,014 $516,035 68 none Pin Automobile Sim
19 24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 874 launches 24 in 100208 hits $15,416 $381,863 874 none Pin Simulation
20 24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 206 launches 24 in 10050 hits $24,935 $322,489 206 none Pin Survival
21 25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 191 launches 25 in 10047 hits $17,568 $343,571 191 none Pin Character Customization
22 25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 220 launches 25 in 10055 hits $11,290 $650,903 220 none Pin FPS
23 25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 60 launches 25 in 10015 hits $31,149 $724,652 60 none Pin Auto Battler
24 25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 107 launches 25 in 10027 hits $12,547 $349,150 107 none Pin Investigation
25 25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 182 launches 25 in 10046 hits $19,586 $303,158 182 Audience Pin Hack and Slash
Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 63 genres
green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches or 5 hits a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.