Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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192,217
on 3 Oct 2026

Genres 3 Oct

Of 156 genres with 30+ launches at $10 to $20, 77 beat the 18 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 219 under $5, 40 in 100 at $20 to $40.77 of 156 genres beat the 18 in 100 base rate.77 beat the base rate.

Typical launch, all prices, first year $540

Genres

Every genre, screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than genre does.

Indie paid Steam launches 12 to 36 months old, data 3 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

The genre list

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Now: Shop Keeper, 49 in 100. 156 match.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Online Co-Op, 35 in 100. 67 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Shop Keeper, $92,344 typical. 156 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Now: Co-op, $774k top 1 in 10. 118 match.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Cozy, 44 in 100. 38 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: Simulation, 876 launches. 156 match.
Hide one-hit markets13 outHide small samples+38 if off

156 of 256 genres have 30+ launches at $10 to $20. 118 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

parodyNot in this view: under 30 launches at $10 to $20.
programmingNot in this view: under 30 launches at $10 to $20.
archeryNot in this view: under 30 launches at $10 to $20.
Genres at $10 to $20, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#GenreChance of $100k+Typical yearTop 1 in 10LaunchesMarkersPin
All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat 18 in 100758 of 4,301 $8,234$217,858 4,301
1 44 in 100 earned $100k+, from 113 launches 44 in 10050 hits $88,250 $726,119 113 Audience Pin Cozy
2 35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 142 launches 35 in 10050 hits $34,532 $649,488 142 none Pin Online Co-Op
3 35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 57 launches 35 in 10020 hits $39,498 $682,937 57 Audience Pin Cooking
4 33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches 33 in 10017 hits $21,885 $740,563 51 none Pin Inventory Management
5 33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 83 launches 33 in 10027 hits $33,396 $456,445 83 1-hit Pin Automation
6 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 245 launches 31 in 10077 hits $22,519 $466,495 245 none Pin Building
7 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 161 launches 31 in 10050 hits $32,655 $403,798 161 none Pin Economy
8 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 94 launches 31 in 10029 hits $35,955 $687,081 94 Audience Pin Roguelike Deckbuilder
9 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 157 launches 31 in 10048 hits $19,270 $774,181 157 none Pin Co-op
10 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 233 launches 30 in 10071 hits $28,398 $363,930 233 none Pin Life Sim
11 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 298 launches 30 in 10089 hits $31,612 $366,715 298 none Pin Management
12 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 360 launches 30 in 100107 hits $22,688 $436,654 360 Audience Pin Sandbox
13 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 213 launches 30 in 10063 hits $26,339 $460,726 213 none Pin Base Building
14 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches 29 in 10017 hits $36,777 $663,590 59 1-hit Pin Open World Survival Craft
15 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 87 launches 29 in 10025 hits $14,174 $345,792 87 none Pin Driving
16 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches 29 in 10020 hits $15,987 $371,283 70 none Pin Dark Humor
17 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 88 launches 28 in 10025 hits $20,773 $362,051 88 Audience Pin Cinematic
18 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 270 launches 28 in 10075 hits $19,479 $411,945 270 none Pin Open World
19 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches 28 in 10015 hits $33,643 $386,359 54 none Pin Trading
20 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 152 launches 26 in 10040 hits $23,362 $317,390 152 none Pin Resource Management
21 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 145 launches 26 in 10038 hits $18,490 $359,391 145 none Pin City Builder
22 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 381 launches 26 in 10098 hits $18,216 $420,756 381 none Pin Roguelite
23 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 74 launches 26 in 10019 hits $26,339 $252,787 74 1-hit Pin Capitalism
24 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 168 launches 26 in 10043 hits $18,545 $449,394 168 none Pin Deckbuilding
25 25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 216 launches 25 in 10055 hits $20,351 $294,097 216 none Pin Crafting
Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 118 genres
green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches or 5 hits a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.