Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
1980s + Casual
Games tagged both 1980s and Casual: 193 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 1980s + Casual priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
1980s + Casual trails both its tags: 1 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.2 in 100 for 1980s and 12.9 in 100 for Casual.
Small sample: 11 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both 1980s and Casual priced $10 to $20. 9.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.1 for 1980s-only games and 12.9 for Casual-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 9.1 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 11), typical first-year earnings $2,671.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
1980s + Casual is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view185 of 193 launches | Without the breakout192 of 193 launches | Last 18 months110 of 193 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1931 hits | 1851 hits | 1920 hits | 1101 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 0.5 in 1001 in 200 | 0.5 in 1001 in 200 | 0.0 in 100 | 0.9 in 1001 in 111 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $40top tenth $2,324+ | $40 | $40 | $20 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -100.0%0.5 fewer in 100 | +80.0%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -50.0%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 1980s and Casual, 6 to 30 months old: 193 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 193 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blippo+ (35.2% of the money): 192 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 110 of 193.
1980s is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| 1980s | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view510 of 523 launches | Without the breakout522 of 523 launches | Last 18 months283 of 523 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 52316 hits | 51016 hits | 52215 hits | 28311 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $242top tenth $8,589+ | $242 | $242 | $282 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -6.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | +25.8%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +16.5%$40 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 1980s, 6 to 30 months old: 523 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Five Nights at Freddy's: Into the Pit (40.8% of the money): 522 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 283 of 523.
Casual holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Casual | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view10,520 of 11,118 launches | Without the breakout11,117 of 11,118 launches | Last 18 months6,267 of 11,118 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 11,118317 hits | 10,520295 hits | 11,117316 hits | 6,267190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $10,765+ | $303 | $303 | $282 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +3.4%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.9%$21 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 6 to 30 months old: 11,118 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 598 of 11,118 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (3.3% of the money): 11,117 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 6,267 of 11,118.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 1980s + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.