Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 2.5D + Exploration
2.5D + Exploration
Games tagged both 2.5D and Exploration: 109 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2.5D + Exploration priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it beats 2.5D and trails Exploration.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2.5D + Exploration beats 2.5D and trails Exploration: 5 of its 29 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.9 in 100 for 2.5D and 20.1 in 100 for Exploration.
Small sample: 29 launches, 5 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 29 games tagged both 2.5D and Exploration priced $10 to $20. 17.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 11.7 for 2.5D-only games and 20.2 for Exploration-only games, so the mix beats 2.5D alone and trails Exploration alone.
Both: 29 games priced $10 to $20; 17.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $16,392.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 29 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2.5D + Exploration is audience-sensitive +1: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view104 of 109 launches | Without the breakout108 of 109 launches | Last 18 months57 of 109 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 10910 hits | 10410 hits | 1089 hits | 572 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $505top tenth $80,960+ | $1,011 | $505 | $443 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.3%0.4 more in 100 | -9.8%0.9 fewer in 100 | -62.0%5.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +100.2%$506 more | 0.0%no change | -12.3%$62 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2.5D and Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 109 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 109 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cat Quest III (21.5% of the money): 108 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 57 of 109.
2.5D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| 2.5D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view650 of 686 launches | Without the breakout685 of 686 launches | Last 18 months378 of 686 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 68636 hits | 65034 hits | 68535 hits | 37812 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $23,883+ | $404 | $403 | $324 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -38.5%2.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -0.2%$1 less | -19.8%$80 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2.5D, 6 to 30 months old: 686 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 686 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Rivals of Aether II (13.0% of the money): 685 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 378 of 686.
Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,867 of 5,078 launches | Without the breakout5,077 of 5,078 launches | Last 18 months2,727 of 5,078 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,078397 hits | 4,867377 hits | 5,077396 hits | 2,727190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $908top tenth $58,608+ | $909 | $902 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | -0.7%$6 less | -19.8%$180 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2.5D + Exploration moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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