Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
2D + Action
Games tagged both 2D and Action: 2,552 indie paid launches, 71 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + Action priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with 2D and trails Action; priced $10 to $20 it beats 2D and is level with Action.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + Action beats 2D and is level with Action: 17.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.4 in 100 for 2D and 17.3 in 100 for Action.
That is about 1.0 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 243 games tagged both 2D and Action priced $10 to $20. 17.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.4 for 2D-only games and 17.2 for Action-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 243 games priced $10 to $20; 17.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $10,321.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 243 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + Action holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,479 of 2,552 launches | Without the breakout2,551 of 2,552 launches | Last 18 months1,365 of 2,552 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,55271 hits | 2,47967 hits | 2,55170 hits | 1,36537 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $221top tenth $10,321+ | $242 | $221 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.6%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +9.5%$21 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$19 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Action, 6 to 30 months old: 2,552 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 73 of 2,552 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Nine Sols (35.3% of the money): 2,551 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,365 of 2,552.
2D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view8,723 of 9,279 launches | Without the breakout9,278 of 9,279 launches | Last 18 months5,071 of 9,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,279280 hits | 8,723261 hits | 9,278279 hits | 5,071141 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $12,749+ | $303 | $303 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -19.8%$60 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 6 to 30 months old: 9,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 556 of 9,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (32.4% of the money): 9,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 5,071 of 9,279.
Action holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Action | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view8,493 of 8,722 launches | Without the breakout8,721 of 8,722 launches | Last 18 months4,715 of 8,722 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,722424 hits | 8,493408 hits | 8,721423 hits | 4,715222 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $21,119+ | $404 | $404 | $364 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -4.1%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.9%$40 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action, 6 to 30 months old: 8,722 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 229 of 8,722 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (14.3% of the money): 8,721 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 4,715 of 8,722.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + Action moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.