Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
2D + CRPG: a typical launch earns $405 in its first year
That is the median of 46 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 105 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 46% on the year before: 82 against 56.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $405 median of 46 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −6.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 82 56 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 195 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 584 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 0.06% | 12 ranked of 195 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,514 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.70xhits against expected | 0.48x to 1.17x | 105 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,715 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 105
- Hit rate
- 3.8%0.0% to 11.2%
- Expected rate
- 6.6%
- Against expected
- 0.70x0.48x to 1.17x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
105 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $304
- Top tenth
- $36,523
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +46%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Drova - Forsaken Kin (opens the Steam store)2024 · 9,472 reviews, 93% positiveest. $4.6M
- Ancient Kingdoms (opens the Steam store)2025 · 480 reviews, 86% positiveest. $155k
- Stray Children (opens the Steam store)2025 · 185 reviews, 79% positiveest. $112k
- Princess Maker 2 Regeneration (opens the Steam store)2024 · 129 reviews, 58% positiveest. $104k
- Border Town (opens the Steam store)2025 · 253 reviews, 77% positiveest. $77k
- Duskpunk (opens the Steam store)2025 · 174 reviews, 91% positiveest. $70k
- Witch and Lilies (opens the Steam store)2024 · 138 reviews, 39% positiveest. $70k
- Only You (opens the Steam store)2026 · 722 reviews, 94% positiveest. $56k
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with CRPG
pairs with CRPG- Exploration + CRPG$60740 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- CRPG + Party-Based RPG$54633 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + CRPG$30335 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- JRPG + CRPGno price52 releases in 12 months
- Casual + CRPGno price51 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + CRPGno price43 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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