Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
2D + Cute: a typical launch earns $461 in its first year
That is the median of 895 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 64 of 1,752 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 74.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 22% on the year before: 1,296 against 1,058.
- Price
- $461 median of 895 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −8.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 1,296 1,058 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 2,223 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 7,550 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.48%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.40% to 0.58% | 113 ranked of 2,225 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #493 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.87xhits against expected | 0.72x to 1.05x | 1,752 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,636 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +12%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +1% to +22% | 257 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,032 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +1%review growth against same-age games | −4% to +6% | 257 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,941 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 1,752
- Hit rate
- 3.7%2.8% to 5.5%
- Expected rate
- 4.2%
- Against expected
- 0.87x0.72x to 1.05x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
1,752 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $464
- Top tenth
- $20,646
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +22%
- Against Steam
- −10%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Mewgenics (opens the Steam store)2026 · 50,493 reviews, 89% positiveest. $29M
- Rabbit and Steel (opens the Steam store)2024 · 10,195 reviews, 96% positiveest. $2.9M
- Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,391 reviews, 97% positiveest. $2.3M
- Minishoot' Adventures (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,837 reviews, 97% positiveest. $2.1M
- Ratopia (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,650 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.8M
- The Plucky Squire (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,805 reviews, 84% positiveest. $1.6M
- (the) Gnorp Apologue (opens the Steam store)2023 · 9,623 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.3M
- Ratatan (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,454 reviews, 85% positiveest. $1.2M
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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