Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
2D + JRPG
Games tagged both 2D and JRPG: 285 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + JRPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 2D and trails JRPG; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + JRPG trails both its tags: 7.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.6 in 100 for 2D and 12.0 in 100 for JRPG.
That is 1 in 13, about 0.4 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 66 games tagged both 2D and JRPG priced $10 to $20. 7.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.2 in 100 for 2D-only games and 14.7 in 100 for JRPG-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 66 games priced $10 to $20; 7.6 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 13), odds by size $1k+ 77 in 100 · $10k+ 39 in 100 · $100k+ 8 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 66 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + JRPG holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view246 of 285 launches | Without the breakout284 of 285 launches | Last 18 months78 of 285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 28511 hits | 2469 hits | 28410 hits | 785 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $695top tenth $25,515+ | $652 | $695 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.2%0.2 fewer in 100 | -8.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | +66.1%2.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -6.2%$43 less | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and JRPG, 12 to 36 months old: 285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 39 of 285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, OFF (20.8% of the money): 284 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 78 of 285.
2D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,851 of 8,361 launches | Without the breakout8,360 of 8,361 launches | Last 18 months2,328 of 8,361 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,361283 hits | 7,851261 hits | 8,360282 hits | 2,32884 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.4 in 1001 in 30 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.4 in 1001 in 30 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $290top tenth $13,574+ | $295 | $290 | $273 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change | +6.6%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$5 more | 0.0%no change | -5.9%$17 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,361 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 510 of 8,361 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.4% of the money): 8,360 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,328 of 8,361.
JRPG is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.
| JRPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view495 of 585 launches | Without the breakout584 of 585 launches | Last 18 months172 of 585 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 58543 hits | 49534 hits | 58442 hits | 17213 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 15 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,200top tenth $60,431+ | $1,294 | $1,200 | $2,551 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -6.6%0.5 fewer in 100 | -2.2%0.2 fewer in 100 | +2.8%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.8%$94 more | 0.0%no change | +112.6%$1,351 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged JRPG, 12 to 36 months old: 585 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 90 of 585 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (54.5% of the money): 584 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 172 of 585.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + JRPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.