Niche

2D + LGBTQ+

Games tagged both 2D and LGBTQ+: 124 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing 2D + LGBTQ+ priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

2D + LGBTQ+ is too small to compare with 2D and is too small to compare with LGBTQ+: 4 of its 32 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.6 in 100 for 2D and 16.2 in 100 for LGBTQ+.

Small sample: 32 launches, 4 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tag2D

16.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds16.6 in 100

Typical earnings$8,118

Launches953 / 158 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pair2D + LGBTQ+

4 of 32launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 32 launches

$1k+91 in 100

$10k+53 in 100

Launches32 / 4 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoLGBTQ+

16.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds16.2 in 100

$1k+92 in 100

$10k+57 in 100

Launches99 / 16 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $202D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices124 in pair Under $557 in pair $5 to $1030 in pair $10 to $2032 in pair$20 to $405: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both 2D and LGBTQ+ priced $10 to $20. 4 of 32 of them earned $100k+, against 16.7 in 100 for 2D-only games and 17.9 in 100 for LGBTQ+-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 2D alone and is too small to compare with LGBTQ+ alone.

Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 32 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 91 in 100 · $10k+ 53 in 100 · $100k+ 4 of 32 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

In Stars And Timeleads this pair45.8%

PairIn Stars And Time45.8%

2DHollow Knight: Silksong39.4%

LGBTQ+Sultan's Game27.1%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2D + LGBTQ+

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

In Stars And Time earned 45.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 124 2D + LGBTQ+ launches.
2D is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 39.4% of its money.
LGBTQ+ is led by Sultan's Game, with 27.1% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2D + LGBTQ+ holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D + LGBTQ+ through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view117 of 124 launches	Without the breakout123 of 124 launches	Last 18 months34 of 124 launches
Launches counted	1244 hits	1173 hits	1233 hits	340 hits
Earned $100k+	4 of 124too few for a rate	3 of 117too few for a rate	3 of 123too few for a rate	0 of 34too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$1,950top tenth $31,348+	$1,903	$1,930	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-20.5%0.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell	-24.4%0.8 fewer in 100	-100.0%3.2 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	-2.4%$47 less	-1.0%$20 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and LGBTQ+, 12 to 36 months old: 124 launches.

Launches counted: 1244 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 124too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,950top tenth $31,348+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 124 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1173 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 117too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,903
Chance against standard: -20.5%0.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -2.4%$47 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, In Stars And Time (45.8% of the money): 123 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1233 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 123too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,930
Chance against standard: -24.4%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.0%$20 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 34 of 124.

Launches counted: 340 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 34too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%3.2 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and LGBTQ+, 12 to 36 months old: 124 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 124 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, In Stars And Time (45.8% of the money): 123 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 34 of 124.

2D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D through every lens, all prices
2D	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,851 of 8,361 launches	Without the breakout8,360 of 8,361 launches	Last 18 months2,328 of 8,361 launches
Launches counted	8,361283 hits	7,851261 hits	8,360282 hits	2,32884 hits
Earned $100k+	3.4 in 1001 in 30	3.3 in 1001 in 30	3.4 in 1001 in 30	3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$290top tenth $13,574+	$295	$290	$273
Chance against standard	the base	-1.8%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.3%no change	+6.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.7%$5 more	0.0%no change	-5.9%$17 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,361 launches.

Launches counted: 8,361283 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $290top tenth $13,574+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 510 of 8,361 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,851261 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $295
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$5 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.4% of the money): 8,360 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 8,360282 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $290
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,328 of 8,361.

Launches counted: 2,32884 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $273
Chance against standard: +6.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -5.9%$17 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,361 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 510 of 8,361 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.4% of the money): 8,360 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,328 of 8,361.

LGBTQ+ is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

LGBTQ+ through every lens, all prices
LGBTQ+	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view315 of 343 launches	Without the breakout342 of 343 launches	Last 18 months108 of 343 launches
Launches counted	34331 hits	31527 hits	34230 hits	1085 hits
Earned $100k+	9.0 in 1001 in 11	8.6 in 1001 in 12	8.8 in 1001 in 11	4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings	$2,581top tenth $88,068+	$2,225	$2,581	$2,230
Chance against standard	the base	-5.2%0.5 fewer in 100	-2.9%0.3 fewer in 100	-48.8%4.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-13.8%$356 less	0.0%no change	-13.6%$351 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged LGBTQ+, 12 to 36 months old: 343 launches.

Launches counted: 34331 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $2,581top tenth $88,068+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 343 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 31527 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $2,225
Chance against standard: -5.2%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -13.8%$356 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Sultan's Game (27.1% of the money): 342 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 34230 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $2,581
Chance against standard: -2.9%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 108 of 343.

Launches counted: 1085 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings: $2,230
Chance against standard: -48.8%4.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -13.6%$351 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged LGBTQ+, 12 to 36 months old: 343 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 343 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Sultan's Game (27.1% of the money): 342 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 108 of 343.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2D + LGBTQ+ moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.