Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
2D + Roguelite: a typical launch earns $606 in its first year
That is the median of 431 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 40 of 901 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 34.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 82% on the year before: 848 against 466.
- Price
- $606 median of 431 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −36.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 848 466 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,922 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 4,234 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.39%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.23% to 0.59% | 49 ranked of 1,924 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #599 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.15xhits against expected | 0.91x to 1.46x | 901 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,971 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −35%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −45% to −26% | 97 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,228 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −13%review growth against same-age games | −21% to −1% | 97 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,396 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 901
- Hit rate
- 4.4%3.7% to 7.0%
- Expected rate
- 3.8%
- Against expected
- 1.15x0.91x to 1.46x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
901 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $566
- Top tenth
- $23,342
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +82%
- Against Steam
- +34%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Mewgenics (opens the Steam store)2026 · 50,493 reviews, 89% positiveest. $29M
- Rotwood (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,462 reviews, 74% positiveest. $3.4M
- Death Must Die (opens the Steam store)2023 · 20,960 reviews, 90% positiveest. $2.9M
- Tower of Babel: Survivors of Chaos (opens the Steam store)2025 · 6,298 reviews, 68% positiveest. $1.4M
- (the) Gnorp Apologue (opens the Steam store)2023 · 9,623 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.3M
- Slots & Daggers (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,454 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.2M
- Meme Mayhem (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,847 reviews, 74% positiveest. $1M
- RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,266 reviews, 82% positiveest. $950k
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Roguelite
pairs with Roguelite- Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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