Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
2D + Runner
Games tagged both 2D and Runner: 145 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + Runner priced under $5.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + Runner is too small to compare with 2D and is too small to compare with Runner: 0 of its 119 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.4 in 100 for 2D and 0 of 395 launches for Runner.
Small sample: 119 launches, 0 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 119 games tagged both 2D and Runner priced under $5. 0 of 119 of them earned $100k+, against 0.4 in 100 for 2D-only games and 0 of 276 for Runner-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 2D alone and is too small to compare with Runner alone.
Both: 119 games priced under $5; 0 of 119 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $64.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 119 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + Runner is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view139 of 145 launches | Without the breakout144 of 145 launches | Last 18 months36 of 145 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1451 hits | 1391 hits | 1440 hits | 361 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1 of 145too few for a rate | 1 of 139too few for a rate | 0 of 144too few for a rate | 1 of 36too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $72top tenth $1,163+ | $73 | $72 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.3%no change; too few to tell | -100.0%0.7 fewer in 100 | +302.8%2.1 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.4%$1 more | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Runner, 12 to 36 months old: 145 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 145 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Nitro Express (69.7% of the money): 144 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 36 of 145.
2D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,851 of 8,361 launches | Without the breakout8,360 of 8,361 launches | Last 18 months2,328 of 8,361 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,361283 hits | 7,851261 hits | 8,360282 hits | 2,32884 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.4 in 1001 in 30 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.4 in 1001 in 30 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $290top tenth $13,574+ | $295 | $290 | $273 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change | +6.6%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$5 more | 0.0%no change | -5.9%$17 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,361 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 510 of 8,361 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.4% of the money): 8,360 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,328 of 8,361.
Runner is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.
| Runner | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view521 of 538 launches | Without the breakout537 of 538 launches | Last 18 months136 of 538 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5386 hits | 5216 hits | 5375 hits | 1363 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.1 in 1001 in 90 | 1.2 in 1001 in 87 | 0.9 in 1001 in 107 | 3 of 136too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $97top tenth $2,297+ | $97 | $97 | $145 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.3%no change | -16.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | +97.8%1.1 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +49.5%$48 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Runner, 12 to 36 months old: 538 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 538 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Haste (72.6% of the money): 537 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 136 of 538.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + Runner moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.