Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
3D + Abstract: a typical launch earns $909 in its first year
That is the median of 45 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 0 of 92 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 24% on the year before: 72 against 58.
- Price
- $909 median of 45 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +151.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 72 58 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 158 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 491 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.02%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.01% to 0.04% | 8 ranked of 159 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,283 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.52xhits against expected | 0.52x to 0.97x | 92 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,546 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 92
- Hit rate
- 0.0%0.0% to 3.3%
- Expected rate
- 3.0%
- Against expected
- 0.52x0.52x to 0.97x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
92 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $525
- Top tenth
- $6,091
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +24%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Dancing Line (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,648 reviews, 92% positiveest. $333k
- Lingo 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 448 reviews, 92% positiveest. $91k
- Theta and Paralldox on Worldlines (opens the Steam store)2026 · 278 reviews, 97% positiveest. $56k
- Ballance (opens the Steam store)2024 · 459 reviews, 84% positiveest. $56k
- Automaton Heart (opens the Steam store)2026 · 82 reviews, 95% positiveest. $25k
- Spooky Express (opens the Steam store)2025 · 81 reviews, 98% positiveest. $25k
- Fingerdance (opens the Steam store)2025 · 374 reviews, 97% positiveest. $23k
- Navicula Meatus (opens the Steam store)2025 · 130 reviews, 96% positiveest. $16k
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
More with Abstract
pairs with Abstract- Surreal + Abstract$1,41531 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Abstract$1,21351 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Abstract$81041 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Abstract$76972 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Abstract$73540 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Abstract$72839 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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