Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Card Game
Games tagged both 3D and Card Game: 78 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Card Game priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Card Game is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with Card Game: 1 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.6 in 100 for 3D and 18.9 in 100 for Card Game.
Small sample: 16 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both 3D and Card Game priced $10 to $20. 1 of 16 of them earned $100k+, against 13.7 in 100 for 3D-only games and 20.0 in 100 for Card Game-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D alone and is too small to compare with Card Game alone.
Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 16 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $575.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Card Game is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view69 of 78 launches | Without the breakout77 of 78 launches | Last 18 months26 of 78 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 782 hits | 691 hits | 771 hits | 262 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2 of 78too few for a rate | 1 of 69too few for a rate | 1 of 77too few for a rate | 2 of 26too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $133top tenth $3,529+ | $169 | $129 | $133 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -43.5%1.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell | -49.4%1.3 fewer in 100 | +200.0%5.1 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +27.1%$36 more; too few to tell | -3.0%$4 less | 0.0%no change; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Too few to tell | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 78 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 78 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Demonic Mahjong (69.2% of the money): 77 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 26 of 78.
3D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,903 of 6,122 launches | Without the breakout6,121 of 6,122 launches | Last 18 months1,738 of 6,122 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,122236 hits | 5,903230 hits | 6,121235 hits | 1,73877 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $354top tenth $13,485+ | $375 | $354 | $383 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%no change | -0.4%no change | +14.9%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.9%$21 more | 0.0%no change | +8.2%$29 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,122 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (18.3% of the money): 6,121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,738 of 6,122.
Card Game holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Card Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view796 of 894 launches | Without the breakout893 of 894 launches | Last 18 months285 of 894 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 89457 hits | 79650 hits | 89356 hits | 28519 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $556top tenth $42,576+ | $638 | $548 | $670 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | +4.6%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +14.7%$82 more | -1.4%$8 less | +20.5%$114 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 894 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 98 of 894 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (30.4% of the money): 893 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 894.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Card Game moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.