Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / 3D / Choose Your Own Adventure
3D + Choose Your Own Adventure: a typical launch earns $212 in its first year
That is the median of 86 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 159 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 6% on the year before: 109 against 103.
- Price
- $212 median of 86 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −38.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 109 103 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 351 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 796 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 0.11% | 23 ranked of 351 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,962 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.20xhits against expected | 0.84x to 1.75x | 159 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,765 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 159
- Hit rate
- 7.5%4.7% to 11.1%
- Expected rate
- 5.5%
- Against expected
- 1.20x0.84x to 1.75x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
160 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $303
- Top tenth
- $27,692
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +6%
Parent tags
- 3DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Choose Your Own AdventureGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,178 reviews, 79% positiveest. $3M
- Car Service Together (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,619 reviews, 79% positiveest. $1.5M
- Guild Wars® Reforged (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,275 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.3M
- No Sleep For Kaname Date - From AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES (opens the Steam store)2025 · 841 reviews, 79% positiveest. $681k
- Whispers from the Star (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,663 reviews, 80% positiveest. $336k
- Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 632 reviews, 81% positiveest. $320k
- Amanda the Adventurer 2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,443 reviews, 83% positiveest. $292k
- Medieval Blacksmith (opens the Steam store)2024 · 592 reviews, 79% positiveest. $240k
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Related niches
pairs with Choose Your Own Adventure- Choose Your Own Adventure + Romance$3,13658 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
- Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim$3,11675 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- Choose Your Own Adventure + Character Customization$2,97334 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months
- Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery$2,91649 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Choose Your Own Adventure$2,54534 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Choose Your Own Adventure$2,180127 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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