Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Driving
Games tagged both 3D and Driving: 211 indie paid launches, 20 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Driving priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Driving beats 3D and trails Driving: 22.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 26.5 in 100 for Driving.
That is about 1.2 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 36 games tagged both 3D and Driving priced $10 to $20. 22.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.0 for 3D-only games and 28.8 for Driving-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and trails Driving alone.
Both: 36 games priced $10 to $20; 22.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $7,285.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 36 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Driving is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view211 of 211 launches | Without the breakout210 of 211 launches | Last 18 months118 of 211 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 21120 hits | 21120 hits | 21019 hits | 1188 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $647top tenth $82,565+ | $647 | $647 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -5.3%0.5 fewer in 100 | -28.4%2.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.2%$40 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Driving, 6 to 30 months old: 211 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 211 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, F1® Manager 2024 (31.0% of the money): 210 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 118 of 211.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Driving holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Driving | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view455 of 458 launches | Without the breakout457 of 458 launches | Last 18 months249 of 458 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 45855 hits | 45555 hits | 45754 hits | 24923 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.0 in 100 | 12.1 in 100 | 11.8 in 100 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,011top tenth $139,526+ | $1,011 | $1,011 | $809 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +0.8%0.1 more in 100 | -1.7%0.2 fewer in 100 | -23.3%2.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -20.0%$202 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Driving, 6 to 30 months old: 458 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 458 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (14.9% of the money): 457 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 249 of 458.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Driving moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.