Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

3D + eSports: a typical launch earns $182 in its first year

That is the median of 33 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 1 of 63 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 15% on the year before: 54 against 47.

Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
One game dominates the figure

Price: $182
Price vs a year earlier: −30.2%
Releases, 12 months: 54
Upcoming games: 156
Games on the store: 419

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

3D + eSports on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.03%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.02% to 0.05%	9 ranked of 156 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#6,812 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	0.49xhits against expected	0.39x to 0.89x	63 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,622 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	−3%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−35% to +33%	15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,543 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−19%review growth against same-age games	−35% to +1%	15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,461 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 1
Expected: 5.2

Launches: 63
Hit rate: 1.6%0.0% to 13.1%
Expected rate: 8.3%
Against expected: 0.49x0.39x to 0.89x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

63 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $202
Top tenth: $13,056

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 54
Prior 12 months: 47

Change: +15%
Against Steam: −16%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

3DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
eSportsNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with 3D

pairs with 3D

3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 3D

More with eSports

pairs with eSports

Sports + eSports$1,01053 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
Simulation + eSports$82235 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Arcade + eSports$64730 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
Casual + eSports$20231 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
PvP + eSportsno price49 releases in 12 months
Action + eSportsno price47 releases in 12 months

Every pair with eSports

Verdicts

in development

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