Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
3D + Flight: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year
That is the median of 68 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 148 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 11.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 33% on the year before: 105 against 79.
- Price
- $202 median of 68 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −52.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 105 79 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 235 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 726 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.11%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.05% to 0.22% | 14 ranked of 235 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #5,526 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.77xhits against expected | 0.53x to 1.18x | 148 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,298 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +1%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −24% to +24% | 23 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,401 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −2%review growth against same-age games | −10% to +12% | 23 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #915 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 148
- Hit rate
- 5.4%0.8% to 9.2%
- Expected rate
- 7.6%
- Against expected
- 0.77x0.53x to 1.18x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
148 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $242
- Top tenth
- $16,145
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +33%
- Against Steam
- −3%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Nuclear Option (opens the Steam store)2023 · 10,455 reviews, 95% positiveest. $4.2M
- Flyout (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,148 reviews, 83% positiveest. $870k
- Aces of Thunder (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,174 reviews, 57% positiveest. $713k
- Approximately Up (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,038 reviews, 93% positiveest. $525k
- Aero GPX (opens the Steam store)2024 · 749 reviews, 97% positiveest. $303k
- Underspace (opens the Steam store)2024 · 435 reviews, 81% positiveest. $176k
- Cabin Crew Life Simulator (opens the Steam store)2025 · 504 reviews, 70% positiveest. $133k
- Scramble: Battle of Britain (opens the Steam store)2024 · 210 reviews, 88% positiveest. $128k
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
More with Flight
pairs with Flight- Simulation + Flight$30461 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Action + Flight$24265 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Flight$16260 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Flight$12153 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Flight$12131 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Flight$12137 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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