Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Immersive Sim
3D + Immersive Sim
Games tagged both 3D and Immersive Sim: 524 indie paid launches, 36 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Immersive Sim priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D and is about level with Immersive Sim; priced $10 to $20 it beats 3D and trails Immersive Sim.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Immersive Sim beats 3D and trails Immersive Sim: 20.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.2 in 100 for 3D and 25.4 in 100 for Immersive Sim.
That is about 1.0 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 95 games tagged both 3D and Immersive Sim priced $10 to $20. 20.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.7 in 100 for 3D-only games and 27.7 in 100 for Immersive Sim-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and trails Immersive Sim alone.
Both: 95 games priced $10 to $20; 20.0 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 83 in 100 · $10k+ 54 in 100 · $100k+ 20 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 95 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Immersive Sim holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view505 of 524 launches | Without the breakout523 of 524 launches | Last 18 months174 of 524 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 52436 hits | 50535 hits | 52335 hits | 17411 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.9 in 1001 in 15 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,029top tenth $51,508+ | $1,134 | $1,029 | $858 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.9%0.1 more in 100 | -2.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -8.0%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +10.2%$105 more | 0.0%no change | -16.6%$171 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Immersive Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 524 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 19 of 524 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, MechWarrior 5: Clans (13.4% of the money): 523 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 174 of 524.
3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,991 of 6,212 launches | Without the breakout6,211 of 6,212 launches | Last 18 months1,727 of 6,212 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,212266 hits | 5,991260 hits | 6,211265 hits | 1,72786 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $353top tenth $16,040+ | $368 | $353 | $424 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.4%no change | +16.3%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.2%$15 more | 0.0%no change | +20.1%$71 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,212 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 221 of 6,212 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.3% of the money): 6,211 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,727 of 6,212.
Immersive Sim holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Immersive Sim | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,293 of 1,390 launches | Without the breakout1,389 of 1,390 launches | Last 18 months409 of 1,390 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,390137 hits | 1,293123 hits | 1,389136 hits | 40942 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.9 in 1001 in 10 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 | 9.8 in 1001 in 10 | 10.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,368top tenth $99,284+ | $1,368 | $1,363 | $1,235 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.5%0.3 fewer in 100 | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +4.2%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -0.4%$5 less | -9.7%$133 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Immersive Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 1,390 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 97 of 1,390 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Supermarket Simulator (20.6% of the money): 1,389 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 409 of 1,390.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Immersive Sim moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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