Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Mystery
Games tagged both 3D and Mystery: 243 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Mystery priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D and trails Mystery; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with Mystery.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Mystery is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with Mystery: 5 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.2 in 100 for 3D and 24.4 in 100 for Mystery.
Small sample: 20 launches, 5 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both 3D and Mystery priced $10 to $20. 5 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 16.0 in 100 for 3D-only games and 24.4 in 100 for Mystery-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D alone and is too small to compare with Mystery alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 5 of 20 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 16 of 20 launches · $10k+ 10 of 20 launches · $100k+ 5 of 20 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Mystery holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view235 of 243 launches | Without the breakout242 of 243 launches | Last 18 months78 of 243 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 24312 hits | 23512 hits | 24211 hits | 786 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $406top tenth $13,769+ | $406 | $406 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.4%0.2 more in 100 | -8.0%0.4 fewer in 100 | +55.8%2.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 243 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 243 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Riven (29.5% of the money): 242 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 78 of 243.
3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,991 of 6,212 launches | Without the breakout6,211 of 6,212 launches | Last 18 months1,727 of 6,212 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,212266 hits | 5,991260 hits | 6,211265 hits | 1,72786 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $353top tenth $16,040+ | $368 | $353 | $424 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.4%no change | +16.3%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.2%$15 more | 0.0%no change | +20.1%$71 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,212 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 221 of 6,212 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.3% of the money): 6,211 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,727 of 6,212.
Mystery is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,167 of 1,239 launches | Without the breakout1,238 of 1,239 launches | Last 18 months402 of 1,239 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,239109 hits | 1,16795 hits | 1,238108 hits | 40237 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,040top tenth $81,013+ | $1,020 | $1,040 | $797 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -7.5%0.7 fewer in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +4.6%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -1.9%$20 less | 0.0%no change | -23.4%$243 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,239 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 72 of 1,239 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (14.6% of the money): 1,238 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 402 of 1,239.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Mystery moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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