Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Open World
3D + Open World
Games tagged both 3D and Open World: 244 indie paid launches, 26 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Open World priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Open World beats 3D and trails Open World: 20.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 26.6 in 100 for Open World.
That is about 1.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 54 games tagged both 3D and Open World priced $10 to $20. 20.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.0 for 3D-only games and 28.0 for Open World-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and trails Open World alone.
Both: 54 games priced $10 to $20; 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,048.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 54 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Open World is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view236 of 244 launches | Without the breakout243 of 244 launches | Last 18 months121 of 244 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 24426 hits | 23626 hits | 24325 hits | 1219 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.7 in 100 | 11.0 in 100 | 10.3 in 100 | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $647top tenth $136,976+ | $648 | $646 | $566 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.8%0.3 more in 100 | -3.7%0.4 fewer in 100 | -30.8%3.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | -0.2%$1 less | -12.5%$81 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Open World, 6 to 30 months old: 244 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 244 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (16.8% of the money): 243 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 121 of 244.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Open World holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Open World | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view877 of 926 launches | Without the breakout925 of 926 launches | Last 18 months474 of 926 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 926151 hits | 877142 hits | 925150 hits | 47471 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 16.3 in 100 | 16.2 in 100 | 16.2 in 100 | 15.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,103top tenth $336,387+ | $2,185 | $2,062 | $1,943 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -8.0%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.9%$82 more | -1.9%$41 less | -7.6%$160 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Open World, 6 to 30 months old: 926 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 926 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (28.6% of the money): 925 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 474 of 926.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Open World moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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