Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
3D + PvE: a typical launch earns $405 in its first year
That is the median of 182 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 13 of 404 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 21.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 23% on the year before: 321 against 261.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $405 median of 182 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +0.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 321 261 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,059 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,302 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.73%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.47% to 1.06% | 72 ranked of 1,059 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #328 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.65xhits against expected | 0.46x to 0.94x | 404 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,023 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +11%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −8% to +38% | 48 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,046 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +1%review growth against same-age games | −10% to +12% | 48 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,942 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 404
- Hit rate
- 3.2%1.5% to 5.4%
- Expected rate
- 5.4%
- Against expected
- 0.65x0.46x to 0.94x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
404 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $364
- Top tenth
- $12,305
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +23%
- Against Steam
- −9%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Shape of Dreams (opens the Steam store)2025 · 16,209 reviews, 89% positiveest. $7.3M
- LORT (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,963 reviews, 77% positiveest. $1.2M
- Empire of the Ants (opens the Steam store)2024 · 931 reviews, 73% positiveest. $754k
- Ukrainian Warfare: Gostomel Heroes (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,959 reviews, 90% positiveest. $595k
- PILGRIM (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,200 reviews, 69% positiveest. $518k
- Rogue Point (opens the Steam store)2026 · 957 reviews, 63% positiveest. $387k
- Transience (opens the Steam store)2025 · 774 reviews, 68% positiveest. $313k
- Trench Tales (opens the Steam store)2025 · 604 reviews, 69% positiveest. $306k
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
More with PvE
pairs with PvE- Co-op + PvE$16,63155 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Online Co-Op + PvE$5,26063 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Multiplayer + PvE$2,00370 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
- PvE + Deckbuilding$1,11233 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
- Dungeon Crawler + PvE$1,06262 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Hack and Slash + PvE$1,06166 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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