Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Realistic
Games tagged both 3D and Realistic: 809 indie paid launches, 51 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Realistic priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Realistic beats 3D and trails Realistic: 18.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 20.1 in 100 for Realistic.
That is about 1.0 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 131 games tagged both 3D and Realistic priced $10 to $20. 18.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.7 for 3D-only games and 21.5 for Realistic-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and trails Realistic alone.
Both: 131 games priced $10 to $20; 18.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,678.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 131 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Realistic holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view794 of 809 launches | Without the breakout808 of 809 launches | Last 18 months447 of 809 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 80951 hits | 79451 hits | 80850 hits | 44732 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $787top tenth $30,658+ | $809 | $787 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | +14.3%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +2.8%$22 more | 0.0%no change | -7.5%$59 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Realistic, 6 to 30 months old: 809 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 809 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Farming Simulator 25 (37.5% of the money): 808 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 447 of 809.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Realistic holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Realistic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,604 of 1,632 launches | Without the breakout1,631 of 1,632 launches | Last 18 months884 of 1,632 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,632132 hits | 1,604132 hits | 1,631131 hits | 88471 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,131top tenth $53,028+ | $1,133 | $1,113 | $1,052 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.2%0.1 more in 100 | -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$2 more | -1.6%$18 less | -7.0%$79 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Realistic, 6 to 30 months old: 1,632 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 1,632 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (21.1% of the money): 1,631 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 884 of 1,632.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Realistic moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.