Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + RTS
Games tagged both 3D and RTS: 125 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + RTS priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats 3D and is about level with RTS; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with RTS.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + RTS is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with RTS: 3 of its 21 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for 3D and 20.7 in 100 for RTS.
Small sample: 21 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 21 games tagged both 3D and RTS priced $10 to $20. 3 of 21 of them earned $100k+, against 16.3 in 100 for 3D-only games and 22.2 in 100 for RTS-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D alone and is too small to compare with RTS alone.
Both: 21 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 21 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 16 of 21 launches · $10k+ 8 of 21 launches · $100k+ 3 of 21 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 21 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + RTS is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view118 of 125 launches | Without the breakout124 of 125 launches | Last 18 months37 of 125 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 12512 hits | 11812 hits | 12411 hits | 373 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 | 10.2 in 100 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 3 of 37too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $345top tenth $47,410+ | $357 | $345 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +5.9%0.6 more in 100 | -7.6%0.7 fewer in 100 | -15.5%1.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.5%$12 more | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and RTS, 12 to 36 months old: 125 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 125 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (58.5% of the money): 124 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 37 of 125.
3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,910 of 6,129 launches | Without the breakout6,128 of 6,129 launches | Last 18 months1,744 of 6,129 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,129266 hits | 5,910260 hits | 6,128265 hits | 1,74490 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $351top tenth $15,677+ | $365 | $351 | $421 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.4%no change | +18.9%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$14 more | 0.0%no change | +19.9%$70 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,129 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,129 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.5% of the money): 6,128 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,744 of 6,129.
RTS is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| RTS | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view462 of 499 launches | Without the breakout498 of 499 launches | Last 18 months148 of 499 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49945 hits | 46244 hits | 49844 hits | 14818 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 | 12.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $660top tenth $82,345+ | $766 | $660 | $1,032 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +5.6%0.5 more in 100 | -2.0%0.2 fewer in 100 | +34.9%3.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +16.1%$106 more | 0.0%no change | +56.4%$372 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged RTS, 12 to 36 months old: 499 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 499 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (16.0% of the money): 498 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 148 of 499.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + RTS moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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