Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Sports
Games tagged both 3D and Sports: 286 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Sports priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D and is about level with Sports; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with Sports.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Sports is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with Sports: 3 of its 55 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for 3D and 9.9 in 100 for Sports.
Small sample: 55 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 55 games tagged both 3D and Sports priced $10 to $20. 3 of 55 of them earned $100k+, against 17.1 in 100 for 3D-only games and 12.4 in 100 for Sports-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D alone and is too small to compare with Sports alone.
Both: 55 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 55 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 69 in 100 · $10k+ 36 in 100 · $100k+ 3 of 55 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 55 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Sports holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view280 of 286 launches | Without the breakout285 of 286 launches | Last 18 months90 of 286 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 28613 hits | 28013 hits | 28512 hits | 906 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $464top tenth $21,046+ | $469 | $446 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.1%0.1 more in 100 | -7.4%0.3 fewer in 100 | +46.7%2.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.1%$5 more | -3.9%$18 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 286 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 286 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game (34.1% of the money): 285 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 90 of 286.
3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,910 of 6,129 launches | Without the breakout6,128 of 6,129 launches | Last 18 months1,744 of 6,129 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,129266 hits | 5,910260 hits | 6,128265 hits | 1,74490 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $351top tenth $15,677+ | $365 | $351 | $421 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.4%no change | +18.9%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$14 more | 0.0%no change | +19.9%$70 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,129 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,129 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.5% of the money): 6,128 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,744 of 6,129.
Sports is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Sports | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view840 of 853 launches | Without the breakout852 of 853 launches | Last 18 months284 of 853 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 85350 hits | 84050 hits | 85249 hits | 28424 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $797top tenth $36,949+ | $843 | $797 | $948 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.5%0.1 more in 100 | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +44.2%2.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.8%$46 more | 0.0%no change | +18.9%$151 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 853 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 853 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (34.5% of the money): 852 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 284 of 853.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Sports moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.