Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Surreal
Games tagged both 3D and Surreal: 200 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Surreal priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with 3D and trails Surreal; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Surreal beats both its tags: 6 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 19.4 in 100 for Surreal.
Small sample: 20 launches, 6 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both 3D and Surreal priced $10 to $20. 30.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.0 for 3D-only games and 16.4 for Surreal-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 30.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $14,731.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Surreal holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view200 of 200 launches | Without the breakout199 of 200 launches | Last 18 months108 of 200 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2009 hits | 2009 hits | 1998 hits | 1085 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $20,837+ | $485 | $485 | $505 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -11.1%0.5 fewer in 100 | +2.2%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +4.1%$20 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Surreal, 6 to 30 months old: 200 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 200 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Berry Bury Berry (26.0% of the money): 199 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 108 of 200.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Surreal holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Surreal | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view657 of 678 launches | Without the breakout677 of 678 launches | Last 18 months368 of 678 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 67843 hits | 65742 hits | 67742 hits | 36822 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,271top tenth $50,389+ | $1,214 | $1,271 | $1,271 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -4.8%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -4.5%$57 less | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 6 to 30 months old: 678 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 678 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (12.0% of the money): 677 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 368 of 678.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Surreal moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.