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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / 3D Platformer + Casual

Niche

3D Platformer + Casual

Games tagged both 3D Platformer and Casual: 628 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing 3D Platformer + Casual priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D Platformer and is about level with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 3D Platformer and is too small to compare with Casual.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

3D Platformer + Casual is too small to compare with 3D Platformer and is too small to compare with Casual: 0 of its 50 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 8.9 in 100 for 3D Platformer and 11.4 in 100 for Casual.

Small sample: 50 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag one3D Platformer
8.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 11
Typical earnings$2,672
Launches180 / 16 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pair3D Platformer + Casual
0 of 50launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds0 of 50 launches
Typical earnings$1,065
Launches50 / 0 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twomood tagCasual
11.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds11.4 in 100
Typical earnings$2,971
Launches1,009 / 115 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices628 in pairUnder $5438 in pair$5 to $10125 in pair$10 to $2050 in pair$20 to $4015 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 50 games tagged both 3D Platformer and Casual priced $10 to $20. 0 of 50 of them earned $100k+, against 12.3 in 100 for 3D Platformer-only games and 12.0 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D Platformer alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.

Both: 50 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 50 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $1,065.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 50 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Chained Togetherleads this pair58.0%
PairChained Together58.0%
3D PlatformerAnother Crab's Treasure14.0%
CasualHouse Flipper 23.8%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 3D Platformer + Casual

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Chained Together earned 58.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 628 3D Platformer + Casual launches.
  • 3D Platformer is led by Another Crab's Treasure, with 14.0% of its money.
  • Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 3.8% of its money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

3D Platformer + Casual is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.

3D Platformer + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view596 of 628 launchesWithout the breakout627 of 628 launchesLast 18 months186 of 628 launches
Launches counted6286 hits5966 hits6275 hits1863 hits
Earned $100k+1.0 in 1001 in 1051.0 in 1001 in 990.8 in 1001 in 1253 of 186too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$115top tenth $2,764+$128$115$153
Chance against standardthe base+5.4%0.1 more in 100-16.5%0.2 fewer in 100+68.8%0.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+11.3%$13 more0.0%no change+33.0%$38 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D Platformer and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 628 launches.

Launches counted
6286 hits
Earned $100k+
1.0 in 1001 in 105
Typical first-year earnings
$115top tenth $2,764+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
5966 hits
Earned $100k+
1.0 in 1001 in 99
Typical first-year earnings
$128
Chance against standard
+5.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+11.3%$13 more
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Chained Together (58.0% of the money): 627 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
6275 hits
Earned $100k+
0.8 in 1001 in 125
Typical first-year earnings
$115
Chance against standard
-16.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 186 of 628.

Launches counted
1863 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 186too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$153
Chance against standard
+68.8%0.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+33.0%$38 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D Platformer and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 628 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Chained Together (58.0% of the money): 627 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 186 of 628.

3D Platformer holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

3D Platformer through every lens, all prices
3D PlatformerBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,492 of 1,583 launchesWithout the breakout1,582 of 1,583 launchesLast 18 months442 of 1,583 launches
Launches counted1,58344 hits1,49241 hits1,58243 hits44213 hits
Earned $100k+2.8 in 1001 in 362.7 in 1001 in 362.7 in 1001 in 372.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings$191top tenth $8,470+$202$191$192
Chance against standardthe base-1.1%no change-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100+5.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+5.8%$11 more0.0%no change+0.5%$1 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 3D Platformer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,583 launches.

Launches counted
1,58344 hits
Earned $100k+
2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings
$191top tenth $8,470+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 91 of 1,583 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,49241 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings
$202
Chance against standard
-1.1%no change
Typical against standard
+5.8%$11 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (14.0% of the money): 1,582 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,58243 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings
$191
Chance against standard
-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 442 of 1,583.

Launches counted
44213 hits
Earned $100k+
2.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings
$192
Chance against standard
+5.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+0.5%$1 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D Platformer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,583 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 91 of 1,583 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (14.0% of the money): 1,582 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 442 of 1,583.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
CasualBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view9,211 of 9,751 launchesWithout the breakout9,750 of 9,751 launchesLast 18 months2,939 of 9,751 launches
Launches counted9,751259 hits9,211240 hits9,750258 hits2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+2.7 in 1001 in 382.6 in 1001 in 382.6 in 1001 in 383.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings$253top tenth $8,786+$257$253$230
Chance against standardthe base-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100-0.4%no change+37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.6%$4 more0.0%no change-9.1%$23 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.

Launches counted
9,751259 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$253top tenth $8,786+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
9,211240 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$257
Chance against standard
-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.6%$4 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
9,750258 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$253
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

Launches counted
2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+
3.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings
$230
Chance against standard
+37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
-9.1%$23 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 3D Platformer + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.