Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / 4X / Turn-Based Strategy
4X + Turn-Based Strategy: 34 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 5 of 43 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 6% on the year before: 34 against 32.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 34 32 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 123 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 356 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.07%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 0.11% | 13 ranked of 123 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,113 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.94xhits against expected | 0.64x to 1.46x | 43 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,178 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 43
- Hit rate
- 13.6%8.0% to 24.7%
- Expected rate
- 12.8%
- Against expected
- 0.94x0.64x to 1.46x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
44 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $234
- Median
- $3,268
- Top tenth
- $236,598
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +6%
Parent tags
- 4XGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Turn-Based StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era (opens the Steam store)2026 · 19,441 reviews, 86% positiveest. $15M
- Terra Invicta (opens the Steam store)2026 · 9,088 reviews, 79% positiveest. $7M
- Songs of Silence (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,384 reviews, 79% positiveest. $1.3M
- Ascension (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,441 reviews, 60% positiveest. $582k
- Heroes of Science and Fiction (opens the Steam store)2024 · 854 reviews, 89% positiveest. $519k
- Hexarchy (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,235 reviews, 83% positiveest. $500k
- Elemental: Reforged (opens the Steam store)2025 · 482 reviews, 73% positiveest. $293k
- Nexus 5X (opens the Steam store)2023 · 886 reviews, 90% positiveest. $269k
More with 4X
pairs with 4X- Simulation + 4Xno price41 releases in 12 months
- 4X + Grand Strategyno price38 releases in 12 months
- 4X + 2Dno price26 releases in 12 months
- 4X + Wargameno price24 releases in 12 months
- 4X + Explorationno price20 releases in 12 months
- 4X + Turn-Based Tacticsno price18 releases in 12 months
More with Turn-Based Strategy
pairs with Turn-Based Strategy- Turn-Based Strategy + Story Rich$8,09741 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy$5,79134 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Deckbuilding$3,05388 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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