Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Action + Fantasy
Games tagged both Action and Fantasy: 511 indie paid launches, 27 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Action + Fantasy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Action and is about level with Fantasy; priced $10 to $20 it trails Action and is about level with Fantasy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Action + Fantasy trails Action and is about level with Fantasy: 13.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.9 in 100 for Action and 13.8 in 100 for Fantasy.
That is about 0.7 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 72 games tagged both Action and Fantasy priced $10 to $20. 13.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.3 in 100 for Action-only games and 13.7 in 100 for Fantasy-only games, so the mix trails Action alone and is about level with Fantasy alone.
Both: 72 games priced $10 to $20; 13.9 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 72 in 100 · $10k+ 35 in 100 · $100k+ 14 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 72 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Action + Fantasy is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view490 of 511 launches | Without the breakout510 of 511 launches | Last 18 months134 of 511 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 51127 hits | 49026 hits | 51026 hits | 1347 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $338top tenth $19,244+ | $348 | $338 | $397 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.4%no change | -3.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.0%$10 more | 0.0%no change | +17.5%$59 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action and Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 511 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 511 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (50.6% of the money): 510 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 134 of 511.
Action holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Action | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,762 of 8,002 launches | Without the breakout8,001 of 8,002 launches | Last 18 months2,181 of 8,002 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,002415 hits | 7,762398 hits | 8,001414 hits | 2,181126 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $378top tenth $23,253+ | $383 | $378 | $386 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.2%no change | +11.4%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.3%$5 more | 0.0%no change | +2.1%$8 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action, 12 to 36 months old: 8,002 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 240 of 8,002 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (15.3% of the money): 8,001 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,181 of 8,002.
Fantasy is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Fantasy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,727 of 1,807 launches | Without the breakout1,806 of 1,807 launches | Last 18 months519 of 1,807 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,807118 hits | 1,727114 hits | 1,806117 hits | 51942 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $618top tenth $35,216+ | $638 | $618 | $780 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%0.1 more in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +23.9%1.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.2%$20 more | 0.0%no change | +26.2%$162 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,807 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,807 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (20.1% of the money): 1,806 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 519 of 1,807.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Action + Fantasy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.