Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Action + Realistic: a typical launch earns $809 in its first year
That is the median of 238 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 41 of 474 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 31.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 1% on the year before: 290 against 286.
- Price
- $809 median of 238 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +48.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 290 286 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 977 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,396 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 4.11%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 1.22% to 7.39% | 114 ranked of 977 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,920 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.27xhits against expected | 1.01x to 1.60x | 474 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,458 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +53%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +24% to +88% | 81 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #149 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +14%review growth against same-age games | −4% to +33% | 81 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #142 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 474
- Hit rate
- 8.6%6.1% to 12.1%
- Expected rate
- 6.7%
- Against expected
- 1.27x1.01x to 1.60x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
474 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $728
- Top tenth
- $68,058
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +1%
- Against Steam
- −26%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- WARDOGS (opens the Steam store)2026 · 84,875 reviews, 76% positiveest. $67M
- Gray Zone Warfare (opens the Steam store)2024 · 69,275 reviews, 72% positiveest. $55M
- Half Sword (opens the Steam store)2026 · 29,092 reviews, 72% positiveest. $15M
- GROUND BRANCH (opens the Steam store)2026 · 22,430 reviews, 83% positiveest. $13M
- Hell Let Loose: Vietnam (opens the Steam store)2026 · 11,087 reviews, 61% positiveest. $8.9M
- IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 13,930 reviews, 97% positiveest. $5.3M
- Into the Radius 2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,288 reviews, 79% positiveest. $4.3M
- Incursion Red River (opens the Steam store)2024 · 8,353 reviews, 76% positiveest. $3.6M
More with Action
pairs with Action- Action + Mechs$7,85932 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Action + Bullet Heaven$6,31331 launches priced, 177 releases in 12 months
- Action + Co-op$3,733172 launches priced, 259 releases in 12 months
- Action + Team-Based$2,97239 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Action + Metroidvania$2,893107 launches priced, 128 releases in 12 months
- Action + Fighting$2,52840 launches priced, 34 releases in 12 months
More with Realistic
pairs with Realistic- Multiplayer + Realistic$17,04044 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Management$13,70546 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Economy$10,95531 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Life Sim$6,57659 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Realistic$5,46362 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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