Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Action + Surreal: a typical launch earns $939 in its first year
That is the median of 62 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 6 of 125 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 6% on the year before: 76 against 72.
- Price
- $939 median of 62 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +54.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 76 72 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 251 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 664 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.18%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.09% to 0.26% | 28 ranked of 251 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,152 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.01xhits against expected | 0.69x to 1.61x | 125 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,716 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 125
- Hit rate
- 4.8%2.3% to 9.5%
- Expected rate
- 4.7%
- Against expected
- 1.01x0.69x to 1.61x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
125 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $4
- Median
- $971
- Top tenth
- $20,763
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +6%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Skate Story (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,760 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.1M
- HOLE (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,845 reviews, 93% positiveest. $377k
- 420BLAZEIT 2: GAME OF THE YEAR -=Dank Dreams and Goated Memes=- [#wow/11 Like and Subscribe] Poggerz Edition (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,549 reviews, 98% positiveest. $345k
- Deliver At All Costs (opens the Steam store)2025 · 325 reviews, 74% positiveest. $197k
- Studio System : Guardian Angel (opens the Steam store)2025 · 568 reviews, 93% positiveest. $138k
- It Takes a War (opens the Steam store)2025 · 895 reviews, 91% positiveest. $109k
- BrokenLore: LOW (opens the Steam store)2025 · 418 reviews, 77% positiveest. $76k
- 除邪(CHUXIE) (opens the Steam store)2024 · 918 reviews, 80% positiveest. $71k
More with Action
pairs with Action- Action + Mechs$7,85932 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Action + Bullet Heaven$6,31331 launches priced, 177 releases in 12 months
- Action + Co-op$3,733172 launches priced, 259 releases in 12 months
- Action + Team-Based$2,97239 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Action + Metroidvania$2,893107 launches priced, 128 releases in 12 months
- Action + Fighting$2,52840 launches priced, 34 releases in 12 months
More with Surreal
pairs with Surreal- Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Story Rich$3,23865 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Psychological Horror$2,906127 launches priced, 153 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Exploration$2,424100 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Walking Simulator$1,81971 launches priced, 118 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Surreal$1,799122 launches priced, 163 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.