Action-Adventure + Arena Shooter: a typical launch earns $120 in its first year

That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 1 of 68 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 15% on the year before: 34 against 40.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $120
Price vs a year earlier: −52.5%
Releases, 12 months: 34
Upcoming games: 137
Games on the store: 344

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Action-Adventure + Arena Shooter on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games.
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.76xhits against expected	0.61x to 1.39x	68 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,362 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 1
Expected: 2.3

Launches: 68
Hit rate: 1.5%0.0% to 4.7%
Expected rate: 3.3%
Against expected: 0.76x0.61x to 1.39x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

68 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $141
Top tenth: $5,111

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 34
Prior 12 months: 40

Change: −15%

Parent tags

Action-AdventureGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Arena ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Action-Adventure

pairs with Action-Adventure

Action-Adventure + VR$6,75746 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Co-op + Action-Adventure$4,36354 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Online Co-Op + Action-Adventure$4,12753 launches priced, 80 releases in 12 months
Action-Adventure + Dark Fantasy$3,09649 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
Metroidvania + Action-Adventure$2,86390 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
Action-Adventure + Gore$2,02430 launches priced, 18 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Action-Adventure

More with Arena Shooter

pairs with Arena Shooter

Roguelite + Arena Shooter$99052 launches priced, 87 releases in 12 months
Arena Shooter + Action Roguelike$97067 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
PvP + Arena Shooter$50632 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
Bullet Hell + Arena Shooter$44579 launches priced, 141 releases in 12 months
FPS + Arena Shooter$37270 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Arena Shooter$29336 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Arena Shooter

Verdicts

in development

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