Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Action Roguelike / Bullet Heaven
Action Roguelike + Bullet Heaven: a typical launch earns $10,417 in its first year
That is the median of 54 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 19 of 107 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 302% on the year before: 217 against 54.
- Price
- $10,417 median of 54 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +73.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 217 54 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 527 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 890 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.30%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.17% to 0.45% | 26 ranked of 529 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #766 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 2.68xhits against expected | 1.99x to 3.57x | 107 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #27 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −67%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −73% to −57% | 42 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,352 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −8%review growth against same-age games | −19% to +5% | 42 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,195 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 107
- Hit rate
- 17.8%10.4% to 27.8%
- Expected rate
- 4.9%
- Against expected
- 2.68x1.99x to 3.57x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
107 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $194
- Median
- $5,344
- Top tenth
- $286,705
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +302%
- Against Steam
- +177%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Action RoguelikeGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Bullet HeavenGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Megabonk (opens the Steam store)2025 · 100,637 reviews, 94% positiveest. $20M
- Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (opens the Steam store)2024 · 46,424 reviews, 86% positiveest. $12M
- The Spell Brigade (opens the Steam store)2024 · 14,815 reviews, 80% positiveest. $3.3M
- Death Must Die (opens the Steam store)2023 · 20,960 reviews, 90% positiveest. $2.9M
- Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,345 reviews, 82% positiveest. $2M
- Tower of Babel: Survivors of Chaos (opens the Steam store)2025 · 6,298 reviews, 68% positiveest. $1.4M
- Pathogenic (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,345 reviews, 92% positiveest. $829k
- Wanderburg (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,888 reviews, 78% positiveest. $829k
More with Action Roguelike
pairs with Action Roguelike- Co-op + Action Roguelike$10,63341 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Online Co-Op + Action Roguelike$7,94636 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Female Protagonist + Action Roguelike$6,55637 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Isometric + Action Roguelike$5,46233 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Dark Fantasy + Action Roguelike$4,04545 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Action Roguelike$2,42672 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
More with Bullet Heaven
pairs with Bullet Heaven- Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$17,70935 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
- Bullet Hell + Bullet Heaven$14,81455 launches priced, 178 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Action + Bullet Heaven$6,31331 launches priced, 177 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Bullet Heavenno price106 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Bullet Heavenno price90 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.