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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Action Roguelike + Casual

Niche

Action Roguelike + Casual

Games tagged both Action Roguelike and Casual: 391 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Action Roguelike + Casual priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Action Roguelike and is about level with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Action Roguelike and is too small to compare with Casual.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Action Roguelike + Casual is too small to compare with Action Roguelike and is too small to compare with Casual: 3 of its 22 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.3 in 100 for Action Roguelike and 11.4 in 100 for Casual.

Small sample: 22 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneAction Roguelike
24.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.3 in 100
Typical earnings$13,214
Launches243 / 59 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairAction Roguelike + Casual
3 of 22launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 22 launches
Typical earnings$5,772
Launches22 / 3 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIETied
Tag twomood tagCasual
11.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds11.4 in 100
Typical earnings$2,971
Launches1,009 / 115 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices391 in pairUnder $5291 in pair$5 to $1073 in pair$10 to $2022 in pair$20 to $405: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 22 games tagged both Action Roguelike and Casual priced $10 to $20. 3 of 22 of them earned $100k+, against 25.3 in 100 for Action Roguelike-only games and 11.3 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Action Roguelike alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.

Both: 22 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 22 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $5,772.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 22 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Helleads this pair28.9%
PairJotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel28.9%
Action RoguelikeHades II23.0%
CasualHouse Flipper 23.8%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Action Roguelike + Casual

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel earned 28.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 391 Action Roguelike + Casual launches.
  • Action Roguelike is led by Hades II, with 23.0% of its money.
  • Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 3.8% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Action Roguelike + Casual holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Action Roguelike + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view367 of 391 launchesWithout the breakout390 of 391 launchesLast 18 months97 of 391 launches
Launches counted39111 hits36710 hits39010 hits973 hits
Earned $100k+2.8 in 1001 in 362.7 in 1001 in 372.6 in 1001 in 393 of 97too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$202top tenth $6,278+$229$202$191
Chance against standardthe base-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100-8.9%0.2 fewer in 100+9.9%0.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+13.4%$27 more0.0%no change-5.4%$11 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Action Roguelike and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 391 launches.

Launches counted
39111 hits
Earned $100k+
2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings
$202top tenth $6,278+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 391 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
36710 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings
$229
Chance against standard
-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+13.4%$27 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel (28.9% of the money): 390 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
39010 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 39
Typical first-year earnings
$202
Chance against standard
-8.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 97 of 391.

Launches counted
973 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 97too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$191
Chance against standard
+9.9%0.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
-5.4%$11 less; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action Roguelike and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 391 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 391 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel (28.9% of the money): 390 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 97 of 391.

Action Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Action Roguelike through every lens, all prices
Action RoguelikeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,657 of 1,738 launchesWithout the breakout1,737 of 1,738 launchesLast 18 months476 of 1,738 launches
Launches counted1,738117 hits1,657108 hits1,737116 hits47635 hits
Earned $100k+6.7 in 1001 in 156.5 in 1001 in 156.7 in 1001 in 157.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$657top tenth $47,933+$705$639$765
Chance against standardthe base-3.2%0.2 fewer in 100-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100+9.2%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+7.3%$48 more-2.7%$18 less+16.4%$108 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Action Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 1,738 launches.

Launches counted
1,738117 hits
Earned $100k+
6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$657top tenth $47,933+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 81 of 1,738 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,657108 hits
Earned $100k+
6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$705
Chance against standard
-3.2%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+7.3%$48 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (23.0% of the money): 1,737 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,737116 hits
Earned $100k+
6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$639
Chance against standard
-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.7%$18 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 476 of 1,738.

Launches counted
47635 hits
Earned $100k+
7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$765
Chance against standard
+9.2%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
+16.4%$108 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Action Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 1,738 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 81 of 1,738 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (23.0% of the money): 1,737 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 476 of 1,738.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
CasualBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view9,211 of 9,751 launchesWithout the breakout9,750 of 9,751 launchesLast 18 months2,939 of 9,751 launches
Launches counted9,751259 hits9,211240 hits9,750258 hits2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+2.7 in 1001 in 382.6 in 1001 in 382.6 in 1001 in 383.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings$253top tenth $8,786+$257$253$230
Chance against standardthe base-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100-0.4%no change+37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.6%$4 more0.0%no change-9.1%$23 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.

Launches counted
9,751259 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$253top tenth $8,786+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
9,211240 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$257
Chance against standard
-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.6%$4 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
9,750258 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$253
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

Launches counted
2,939107 hits
Earned $100k+
3.6 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings
$230
Chance against standard
+37.1%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
-9.1%$23 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Action Roguelike + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

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