Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Action RPG + Magic
Action RPG + Magic
Games tagged both Action RPG and Magic: 61 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Action RPG + Magic priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails Action RPG and beats Magic.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Action RPG + Magic trails Action RPG and beats Magic: 2 of its 14 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.2 in 100 for Action RPG and 7.3 in 100 for Magic.
Small sample: 14 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both Action RPG and Magic priced $10 to $20. 14.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.4 for Action RPG-only games and 6.4 for Magic-only games, so the mix trails Action RPG alone and beats Magic alone.
Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 14.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,313.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Action RPG + Magic is audience-sensitive: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view56 of 61 launches | Without the breakout60 of 61 launches | Last 18 months29 of 61 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 615 hits | 565 hits | 604 hits | 292 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $708top tenth $13,763+ | $1,213 | $708 | $729 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +8.5%0.7 more in 100 | -18.3%1.5 fewer in 100 | -15.9%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +71.3%$505 more | 0.0%no change | +3.0%$21 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and Magic, 6 to 30 months old: 61 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 61 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mage Arena (32.8% of the money): 60 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 29 of 61.
Action RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Action RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,300 of 1,413 launches | Without the breakout1,412 of 1,413 launches | Last 18 months696 of 1,413 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,413109 hits | 1,30097 hits | 1,412108 hits | 69648 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $62,308+ | $505 | $485 | $425 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -10.4%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -12.4%$60 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 1,413 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 113 of 1,413 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (31.7% of the money): 1,412 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 696 of 1,413.
Magic holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Magic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view555 of 589 launches | Without the breakout588 of 589 launches | Last 18 months305 of 589 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 58925 hits | 55525 hits | 58824 hits | 30514 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $26,501+ | $607 | $606 | $533 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +7.1%0.3 more in 100 | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +9.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -12.0%$73 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 6 to 30 months old: 589 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 589 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Spell Brigade (16.6% of the money): 588 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 305 of 589.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Action RPG + Magic moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.