Niche

Adventure + Arena Shooter

Games tagged both Adventure and Arena Shooter: 72 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Adventure + Arena Shooter priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Adventure + Arena Shooter is too small to compare with Adventure and is too small to compare with Arena Shooter: 0 of its 41 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.3 in 100 for Adventure and 1 of 305 launches for Arena Shooter.

Small sample: 41 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagAdventure

0.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 387

Typical earnings$163

Launches3,870 / 10 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairAdventure + Arena Shooter

0 of 41launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 41 launches

$1k+2 of 41 launches

$10k+1 of 41 launches

Launches41 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoArena Shooter

1 of 305launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 305 launches

Typical earnings$108

Launches305 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 230), typical $162, from 14,050 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Adventure is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices72 in pair Under $541 in pair $5 to $1024 in pair$10 to $204: too few$20 to $403: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 41 games tagged both Adventure and Arena Shooter priced under $5. 0 of 41 of them earned $100k+, against 0.3 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 1 of 264 for Arena Shooter-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Adventure alone and is too small to compare with Arena Shooter alone.

Both: 41 games priced under $5; 0 of 41 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 2 of 41 launches · $10k+ 1 of 41 launches · $100k+ 0 of 41 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 41 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Frogmonsterleads this pair41.6%

PairFrogmonster41.6%

AdventurePalworld27.4%

Arena ShooterDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor47.1%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Adventure + Arena Shooter

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Frogmonster earned 41.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 72 Adventure + Arena Shooter launches.
Adventure is led by Palworld, with 27.4% of its money.
Arena Shooter is led by Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor, with 47.1% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Adventure + Arena Shooter holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Adventure + Arena Shooter through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view71 of 72 launches	Without the breakout71 of 72 launches	Last 18 months15 of 72 launches
Launches counted	722 hits	712 hits	711 hits	150 hits
Earned $100k+	2 of 72too few for a rate	2 of 71too few for a rate	1 of 71too few for a rate	0 of 15too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	7 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 28 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+1.4%no change; too few to tell	-49.3%1.4 fewer in 100	-100.0%2.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 72 launches.

Launches counted: 722 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 72too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 7 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 28 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 72 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 712 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 71too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +1.4%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Frogmonster (41.6% of the money): 71 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 711 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 71too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -49.3%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 72.

Launches counted: 150 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 15too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 72 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 72 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Frogmonster (41.6% of the money): 71 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 72.

Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Adventure through every lens, all prices
Adventure	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches	Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches	Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches
Launches counted	7,710449 hits	7,233421 hits	7,709448 hits	2,176124 hits
Earned $100k+	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$618top tenth $35,206+	$643	$618	$707
Chance against standard	the base	-0.1%no change	-0.2%no change	-2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$25 more	0.0%no change	+14.4%$89 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.

Launches counted: 7,710449 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $618top tenth $35,206+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,233421 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $643
Chance against standard: -0.1%no change
Typical against standard: +4.0%$25 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 7,709448 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $618
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.

Launches counted: 2,176124 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $707
Chance against standard: -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +14.4%$89 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.

Arena Shooter holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Arena Shooter through every lens, all prices
Arena Shooter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view510 of 513 launches	Without the breakout512 of 513 launches	Last 18 months124 of 513 launches
Launches counted	51315 hits	51015 hits	51214 hits	1242 hits
Earned $100k+	2.9 in 1001 in 34	2.9 in 1001 in 34	2.7 in 1001 in 37	2 of 124too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$270top tenth $12,559+	$291	$270	$217
Chance against standard	the base	+0.6%no change	-6.5%0.2 fewer in 100	-44.8%1.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+7.8%$21 more	0.0%no change	-19.6%$53 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 513 launches.

Launches counted: 51315 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $270top tenth $12,559+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 513 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 51015 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $291
Chance against standard: +0.6%no change
Typical against standard: +7.8%$21 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (47.1% of the money): 512 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 51214 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings: $270
Chance against standard: -6.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 124 of 513.

Launches counted: 1242 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 124too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $217
Chance against standard: -44.8%1.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -19.6%$53 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 513 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 513 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (47.1% of the money): 512 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 124 of 513.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Adventure + Arena Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.