Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Adventure / Choose Your Own Adventure
Adventure + Choose Your Own Adventure: a typical launch earns $970 in its first year
That is the median of 293 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 22 of 584 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 52.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 26% on the year before: 440 against 348.
- Price
- $970 median of 293 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −20.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 440 348 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,035 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,944 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.61%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.42% to 0.84% | 89 ranked of 1,036 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #387 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.45xhits against expected | 0.33x to 0.61x | 584 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,699 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +6%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −7% to +22% | 107 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,230 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −2%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +6% | 107 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #897 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 584
- Hit rate
- 3.9%2.9% to 7.7%
- Expected rate
- 9.1%
- Against expected
- 0.45x0.33x to 0.61x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
584 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $856
- Top tenth
- $26,436
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +26%
- Against Steam
- −8%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- AdventureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Choose Your Own AdventureGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
The Casting of Frank Stone™ (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,599 reviews, 62% positiveest. $3.3M
Guild Wars® Reforged (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,275 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.3M
The Expanse: A Telltale Series (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,388 reviews, 76% positiveest. $1.2M
Kindergarten 3 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,783 reviews, 94% positiveest. $722k
No Sleep For Kaname Date - From AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES (opens the Steam store)2025 · 841 reviews, 79% positiveest. $681k
AI2U: With You 'Til The End (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,171 reviews, 87% positiveest. $626k
Fate/hollow ataraxia REMASTERED (opens the Steam store)2025 · 953 reviews, 96% positiveest. $579k
Refind Self: The Personality Test Game (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,604 reviews, 87% positiveest. $549k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Related niches
pairs with Choose Your Own Adventure- Choose Your Own Adventure + Romance$3,13658 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
- Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim$3,11675 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- Choose Your Own Adventure + Character Customization$2,97334 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months
- Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery$2,91649 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Choose Your Own Adventure$2,54534 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Choose Your Own Adventure$2,180127 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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