Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Adventure + Exploration
Adventure + Exploration
Games tagged both Adventure and Exploration: 2,215 indie paid launches, 159 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Adventure + Exploration priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Adventure and is about level with Exploration; priced $10 to $20 it beats Adventure and is about level with Exploration.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Adventure + Exploration beats Adventure and is about level with Exploration: 19.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 20.6 in 100 for Exploration.
That is about 0.9 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 389 games tagged both Adventure and Exploration priced $10 to $20. 19.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.4 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 21.8 in 100 for Exploration-only games, so the mix beats Adventure alone and is about level with Exploration alone.
Both: 389 games priced $10 to $20; 19.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $11,503.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 389 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Adventure + Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,115 of 2,215 launches | Without the breakout2,214 of 2,215 launches | Last 18 months647 of 2,215 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,215159 hits | 2,115155 hits | 2,214158 hits | 64741 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $736top tenth $51,823+ | $771 | $736 | $750 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.1%0.2 more in 100 | -0.6%no change | -11.7%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.8%$35 more | 0.0%no change | +1.9%$14 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 2,215 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 100 of 2,215 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Enshrouded (19.5% of the money): 2,214 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 647 of 2,215.
Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Adventure | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches | Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches | Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 7,710449 hits | 7,233421 hits | 7,709448 hits | 2,176124 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $618top tenth $35,206+ | $643 | $618 | $707 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.1%no change | -0.2%no change | -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$25 more | 0.0%no change | +14.4%$89 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.
Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,432 of 4,635 launches | Without the breakout4,634 of 4,635 launches | Last 18 months1,277 of 4,635 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,635375 hits | 4,432357 hits | 4,634374 hits | 1,27799 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $876top tenth $64,081+ | $894 | $876 | $858 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.4%no change | -0.2%no change | -4.2%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -2.1%$18 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,635 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 203 of 4,635 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (23.3% of the money): 4,634 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,277 of 4,635.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Adventure + Exploration moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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