Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Adventure + Idler: a typical launch earns $1,212 in its first year
That is the median of 51 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 99 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 87% on the year before: 116 against 62.
- Price
- $1,212 median of 51 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +199.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 116 62 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 180 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 536 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 0.13% | 12 ranked of 180 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #5,850 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.79xhits against expected | 1.22x to 2.76x | 99 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #299 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 99
- Hit rate
- 7.1%4.0% to 12.7%
- Expected rate
- 2.6%
- Against expected
- 1.79x1.22x to 2.76x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
99 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $60
- Median
- $1,029
- Top tenth
- $41,562
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +87%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Cauldron (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,691 reviews, 92% positiveest. $513k
- Multiverse Loot Hunter (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,599 reviews, 80% positiveest. $399k
- Path of Idle: Old Gods Rising (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,212 reviews, 77% positiveest. $245k
- Legends of Dragaea: Idle Dungeons (opens the Steam store)2025 · 986 reviews, 86% positiveest. $199k
- Trainatic (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,092 reviews, 89% positiveest. $132k
- Desktop Raid (opens the Steam store)2026 · 688 reviews, 76% positiveest. $125k
- Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes (opens the Steam store)2023 · 607 reviews, 84% positiveest. $123k
- XiuzhenWorld (opens the Steam store)2024 · 436 reviews, 75% positiveest. $115k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Idler
pairs with Idler- Cozy + Idler$3,51835 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Collectathon + Idler$1,77756 launches priced, 144 releases in 12 months
- Nature + Idler$1,66633 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
- Management + Idler$1,48690 launches priced, 270 releases in 12 months
- Idler + Creature Collector$1,45476 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
- Building + Idler$1,44436 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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