Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Adventure / Lore-Rich
Adventure + Lore-Rich: a typical launch earns $1,191 in its first year
That is the median of 54 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 115 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 44% on the year before: 101 against 70.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $1,191 median of 54 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +65.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 101 70 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 434 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 763 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.95%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.39% to 1.85% | 40 ranked of 434 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #236 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.94xhits against expected | 0.65x to 1.43x | 115 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,154 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −4%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −28% to +21% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,578 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −3%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +10% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,146 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 115
- Hit rate
- 7.0%2.6% to 15.9%
- Expected rate
- 7.5%
- Against expected
- 0.94x0.65x to 1.43x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
115 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $991
- Top tenth
- $65,573
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +44%
- Against Steam
- +2%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Talos Principle: Reawakened (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,097 reviews, 90% positiveest. $888k
- Noctuary (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,376 reviews, 94% positiveest. $875k
- Harold Halibut (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,209 reviews, 82% positiveest. $857k
- Dustborn (opens the Steam store)2024 · 586 reviews, 70% positiveest. $356k
- Trials of Innocence (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,311 reviews, 91% positiveest. $248k
- Heat Death: Survival Train (opens the Steam store)2024 · 713 reviews, 77% positiveest. $173k
- Zefyr: A Thief's Melody (opens the Steam store)2025 · 403 reviews, 96% positiveest. $163k
- 荒岛求生:逃出美女岛 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,164 reviews, 93% positiveest. $130k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Lore-Rich
pairs with Lore-Rich- Lore-Rich + Multiple Endings$2,52732 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Lore-Rich$2,32451 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Lore-Rich$2,02371 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Lore-Rich$1,61965 launches priced, 106 releases in 12 months
- Lore-Rich + 2D$1,58448 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Lore-Rich$1,57238 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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